Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan — Liga Profesional Argentina

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 5

Sarmiento Junin

2–0Full-time

Huracan

LLWDWWGoals 9-92nd in league

LDLDWDGoals 7-97th in league

Home3W 0D 1L(8-4)

Away1W 6D 1L(6-5)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

9'Leonardo Gil (Óscar Romero)
30'Junior Marabel
39'Elián Giménez
39'Goal Disallowed - Foul — Elián Giménez
44'Rodrigo Fernández
45+2'J. Mavilla
46'F. Kalinger (I. Pussetto)
50'J. Contrera
50'Oscar Cortés
55'J. Bisanz
57'J. Bisanz (T. Peralta)
64'J. Bisanz (T. Peralta)
66'J. Caicedo
73'Oscar Cortés (L. Mora)
74'L. Blondel (I. Campo)
75'J. Contrera (U. Gimenez)
75'J. Mavilla (G. Gonzalez)
80'Junior Marabel (Pablo Daniel Magnin)
80'J. Herrera (D. Churín)
86'L. Suarez (G. Gonzalez)
90+1'Óscar Romero
90'Elián Giménez (Agustin Nadruz)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Sarmiento JuninHuracan

0.9
Goals/game: 0.7; 0.9
Conceded/game: 0.9

AI match analysis

Sarmiento Junin win

30%

Draw

35%

Huracan win

35%

32.7%BTTS

24.3%Over 2.5

44.9%Sarmiento Junin clean sheet

40.7%Huracan clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a competitive matchup, with Huracan holding an undefeated streak in away fixtures, primarily through draws. Sarmiento Junin’s inconsistent home form could hinder their chances against a team that has historically performed well against them. The overall statistics indicate a likely close finish, with both teams possibly ending in a draw given their recent scoring averages and the performances leading up to this clash.

Huracan unbeaten in last 8 away matches with a 1 win and 6 draws
Sarmiento Junin has struggled at home this season with a 1W 1L record
Huracan has a favorable head-to-head record against Sarmiento Junin in recent matches
Both teams have similar scoring averages, with Sarmiento scoring slightly more at home.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

66/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Huracan

Historical edgeHuracan
Huracan have won 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
4/7 H2H wins
Strong home recordSarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin have won 3 of their last 4 home matches.
3/4 home wins
Weak away recordHuracan
Huracan have won 1 of their last 8 away matches.
1/8 away wins
Higher league positionSarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin sit 5 places above Huracan in the table.
#2 vs #7

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 35% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Huracan at 35% — final result was Sarmiento Junin win, Sarmiento Junin 2-0 Huracan.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Huracan2.61market 38.3% · model 35%

Draw2.75market 36.3% · model 35%

Sarmiento Junin ✓3.12market 32% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Sarmiento Junin have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Huracan have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

0Sarmiento Junin wins

3Draws

4Huracan wins

2-13Goals

Huracan

3–1Oct 5, 2024, 12:00 AM

Sarmiento Junin

0–0May 21, 2023, 9:00 PM

Huracan

4–1Aug 12, 2022, 10:00 PM

Sarmiento Junin

0–0Sep 13, 2021, 5:15 PM

Huracan

3–0Apr 13, 2021, 10:00 PM

Sarmiento Junin

Huracan

0–0Sep 24, 2016, 11:15 PM

Sarmiento Junin

Huracan

3–0Oct 16, 2015, 11:00 PM

Sarmiento Junin

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sarmiento Junin3.12▲best 3.30

Draw2.75▲best 2.88

Huracan2.61best 2.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.53.08▼best 3.27

Under 2.51.34▲best 1.38

Both teams to score

Yes2.33▼best 2.38

No1.54▲best 1.57

Double chance

Sarmiento Junin/Draw1.46▲best 1.50

Sarmiento Junin/Huracan1.41best 1.44

Draw/Huracan1.34best 1.38

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50▲best 1.50

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.45▼best 2.50

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.23▲best 2.25

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.60▼best 1.62

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sarmiento Junin3.12▲ 0.10

Draw2.75▲ 0.03

Huracan2.61▼ 0.01

13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Sarmiento Junin win0pp

30%

Market

30%

Draw+1pp

35%

Market

34%

Huracan win-0.9pp

35%

Market

35.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.