Sassuolo vs Cesena
Match events
- 5'M. Piacentini (Mihajlo Ilić)
- 13'C. Volpato (Simone Cinquegrano)
- 45+2'Vasilije Adžić (Josh Doig)
- 46'Maat Daniel Caprini (A. Fiori)
- 64'A. David
- 65'Kieron Bowie (Andrea Ghion)
- 66'Nemanja Matić (Benjamín Domínguez)
- 68'M. Guidi (L. Schirone)
- 68'R. Pagano (M. Francesconi)
- 72'L. Schirone
- 72'Vasilije Adžić (Luca Lipani)
- 75'Luca Lipani (Armand Lauriente)
- 82'Simone Cinquegrano (Filippo Missori)
- 82'T. Macchioni (Alessandro Di Bitonto)
- 83'C. Shpendi (A. Debenedetti)
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests Sassuolo will have an advantage in this Coppa Italia matchup against Cesena, having a strong head-to-head record. Despite some recent struggles, Sassuolo has still managed to score more consistently than Cesena, who has struggled offensively. The expected outcome favors a home victory, likely with Sassuolo scoring around two goals.
- Sassuolo has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Cesena.
- Cesena has failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Sassuolo averages 1.3 goals scored per game in recent form compared to Cesena's 0.9.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Sassuolo
- Historical edgeSassuolo
Sassuolo have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Sharper attackSassuolo
Sassuolo are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game - Tighter defenseSassuolo
Sassuolo are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Sassuolo at 65.5% — final result was Sassuolo win, Sassuolo 3-0 Cesena.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (87/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sassuolo have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cesena have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
N. Turrini
Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Sassuolo
Cesena
More Coppa Italia predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sassuolo vs Cesena?+
Our AI model favors Sassuolo to win, with a 65.5% probability (Draw 19.6%, Cesena 14.9%).
What time does Sassuolo vs Cesena kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).