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SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen

Bundesliga· Regular Season - 1
SC Freiburg
4–1Full-time
Werder Bremen
WWWWGoals 27-102nd in league
WDLWGoals 16-715th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(4-1)
Away0W 0D 1L(1-4)

Unknown · Referee: D. Siebert

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 29'Y. Suzuki (J. Beste)
  2. 45'I. Matanovic (M. Ginter)
  3. 46'J. Beste (C. Irie)
  4. 46'S. Lynen (D. Stalmach)
  5. 48'Y. Suzuki
  6. 48'L. Reis
  7. 55'Y. Suzuki (I. Matanovic)
  8. 61'J. Njinmah (S. Musah)
  9. 61'N. Fullkrug (C. Itten)
  10. 69'P. Lienhart (M. Rosenfelder)
  11. 69'L. Kubler (P. Treu)
  12. 73'I. Matanovic (L. Holer)
  13. 76'D. Stalmach (M. Grull)
  14. 79'Y. Suzuki (K. Goto)
  15. 84'L. Reis (E. Dinkci)
  16. 85'M. Grull (P. Covic)
  17. 88'K. Goto

Lineups

SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
4-2-3-14-3-3
1
1. Mio Backhaus
33
33. Jordy Makengo
3
← 69'
3. P. Lienhart
28
28. M. Ginter
17
← 69'
17. L. Kubler
16
16. Yannick Engelhardt
8
8. Maximilian Eggestein
7
7. Derry Scherhant
14
← 79'
14. Y. Suzuki
19
← 46'
19. J. Beste
31
← 73'
31. I. Matanovic
17
← 85'
17. M. Grull
10
← 61'
10. N. Fullkrug
11
← 61'
11. J. Njinmah
15
← 84'
15. L. Reis
14
← 46'
14. S. Lynen
20
20. Chuki
2
2. Olivier Deman
32
32. Marco Friedl
5
5. Amos Pieper
33
33. Mick Schmetgens
1. Karl Hein
Julian SchusterCoachDaniel Thioune
Bench (9)
Bench (9)
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
2.7
Goals/game
1.6
1.0
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

SC Freiburg win
52%
Draw
26%
Werder Bremen win
22%
59.5%BTTS
57.7%Over 2.5
27.3%SC Freiburg clean sheet
18.3%Werder Bremen clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that SC Freiburg enters this match with strong momentum, having won their last five fixtures, including a commanding home record. Historically, Freiburg has dominated their recent head-to-head matchups against Werder Bremen, which could factor into their performance. Additionally, Freiburg's high scoring average of 2.7 goals over their last ten matches indicates their offensive strength, while Bremen's solid defensive record may lead to a closely contested game.

  • SC Freiburg has won the last 5 encounters against Werder Bremen.
  • Freiburg averaged 2.7 goals scored in their last 10 matches.
  • Werder Bremen conceded only 0.7 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
88/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors SC Freiburg

  • Strong recent formSC Freiburg

    SC Freiburg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.

    5W 0D 0L
  • Historical edgeSC Freiburg

    SC Freiburg have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackSC Freiburg

    SC Freiburg are averaging 2.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.7/game
  • Tighter defenseWerder Bremen

    Werder Bremen are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked SC Freiburg at 52% — final result was SC Freiburg win, SC Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (88/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

SC Freiburg ✓1.85market 54.2% · model 52%
Draw3.66market 27.3% · model 26%
Werder Bremen4.18market 23.9% · model 22%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • SC Freiburg have averaged 2.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Werder Bremen have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5SC Freiburg wins
2Draws
1Werder Bremen wins
13-5Goals
SC Freiburg
5–0Feb 21, 2025, 7:30 PM
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
0–1Oct 5, 2024, 1:30 PM
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
3–1Jan 27, 2024, 2:30 PM
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
1–0Aug 26, 2023, 1:30 PM
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1–2Apr 16, 2023, 1:30 PM
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
2–0Oct 22, 2022, 1:30 PM
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
0–0Feb 13, 2021, 2:30 PM
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
1–1Oct 17, 2020, 1:30 PM
Werder Bremen

Odds comparison

Match winner

SC Freiburg1.85▼best 1.89
Draw3.66▲best 3.81
Werder Bremen4.18▲best 4.55

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.75▼best 1.81
Under 2.52.11▲best 2.17

Both teams to score

Yes1.63▼best 1.67
No2.18▲best 2.25

Double chance

SC Freiburg/Draw1.22▼best 1.25
SC Freiburg/Werder Bremen1.27▼best 1.31
Draw/Werder Bremen1.93▲best 2.03

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.77▼best 2.80
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.15▼best 1.15
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.13▲best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.39▲best 1.40

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

SC Freiburg1.84▼ 0.13
Draw3.66▲ 0.11
Werder Bremen4.18▲ 0.58
27 Aug – 30 Aug

Model vs market

SC Freiburg win+0.6pp
AI
52%
Market
51.4%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
26%
Market
25.9%
Werder Bremen win-0.7pp
AI
22%
Market
22.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
SC Freiburg
1100+33W
15
Werder Bremen
1001-30L

Pre-match comparison

2.7Goals scored per game1.6
1Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Siebert

5.11Yellow cards / game
0.17Red cards / game
0.5Penalties scored / game

Based on 18 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

SC Freiburg

0-15'
8.7%
16-30'
17.4%
31-45'
17.4%
46-60'
8.7%
61-75'
26.1%
76-90+'
21.7%

Werder Bremen

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?+

Our AI model favors SC Freiburg to win, with a 52% probability (Draw 26%, Werder Bremen 22%).

Where is SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen played?+

The match is played at Unknown.

What time does SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 30, 2026, 1:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).