SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt

DFB Pokal· Round of 64
WGoals 3-2
LWWLGoals 12-28

Grotenburg-Stadion, Krefeld · Referee: D. Lutz

Value found

+10.2% edge

Draw

30.12AI fair odds
33.19Bookmaker odds
+10.2%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 4'Jonathan Burkardt (C. Uzun)
  2. 7'E. Baum
  3. 10'Robin Koch (C. Uzun)
  4. 17'A. Amaimouni (Jonathan Burkardt)
  5. 29'Jonathan Burkardt (K. Kosugi)
  6. 34'C. Uzun (K. Kosugi)
  7. 41'Jonathan Burkardt
  8. 44'E. Baum (Jonathan Burkardt)
  9. 45+1'Y. Ebnoutalib
  10. 45+5'M. Götze (K. Kosugi)
  11. 46'Substitution 1
  12. 46'E. Baum (Ansgar Knauff)
  13. 46'Substitution 1 (J. Suaterna)
  14. 69'Substitution 4
  15. 69'Robin Koch (J. Maluze)
  16. 69'M. Götze (F. Chaibi)
  17. 69'Jonathan Burkardt (M. Pimpong)
  18. 84'A. Amaimouni (L. Arrhov)
  19. 86'Substitution 5
  20. 87'F. Chaibi (C. Uzun)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
SC St. TönisEintracht Frankfurt
3.0
Goals/game
1.2
2.0
Conceded/game
2.8

AI match analysis

SC St. Tönis win
1.48%
Draw
3.32%
Eintracht Frankfurt win
95.2%
75.4%BTTS
82.6%Over 2.5
20.2%SC St. Tönis clean sheet
5.5%Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-4

The data suggests that Eintracht Frankfurt presents a significant challenge for SC St. Tönis, especially given their poor form, having lost 4 of their last 5 matches. SC St. Tönis has shown some attacking threat by scoring 3 goals in their recent win, yet Frankfurt's historical performance and recent scoring statistics indicate a strong likelihood of them overcoming the home side. As such, the numbers favor an away win with a predicted scoreline reflecting that dominance.

  • Eintracht Frankfurt has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • SC St. Tönis scored 3 goals in their last match
  • Frankfurt's last 10 matches average 0.41 xG per game
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Eintracht Frankfurt

  • Sharper attackSC St. Tönis

    SC St. Tönis are averaging 3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    3/game
  • Strong recent formSC St. Tönis

    SC St. Tönis are unbeaten in their last 1 matches, including 1 win.

    1W 0D 0L
  • Poor recent formEintracht Frankfurt

    Eintracht Frankfurt have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Tighter defenseSC St. Tönis

    SC St. Tönis are conceding just 2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    2/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited recent-match sample

    SC St. Tönis has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Eintracht Frankfurt at 95.2% — final result was Eintracht Frankfurt win, SC St. Tönis 0-11 Eintracht Frankfurt.

Predicted score was 1-4.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Eintracht Frankfurt1.01market 99.1% · model 95.2%
Draw33.19market 3% · model 3.32%
SC St. Tönis54.13market 1.8% · model 1.48%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • SC St. Tönis have averaged 3 goals scored per game over their last 1 matches.
  • Eintracht Frankfurt have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

SC St. Tönis54.13best 101.00
Draw33.19best 76.00
Eintracht Frankfurt1.01best 1.01

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.02best 1.02
Under 2.518.33best 19.00

Both teams to score

Yes2.67best 3.24
No1.53best 2.45

Double chance

SC St. Tönis/Draw23.63best 31.00
SC St. Tönis/Eintracht Frankfurt1.01best 1.02
Draw/Eintracht Frankfurt1.00best 1.01

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

SC St. Tönis54.13 26.63
Draw33.19 10.94
Eintracht Frankfurt1.01
21 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

SC St. Tönis win-0.3pp
AI
1.48%
Market
1.8%
Draw+0.4pp
AI
3.32%
Market
2.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt win-0.1pp
AI
95.2%
Market
95.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

3Goals scored per game1.2
2Goals conceded per game2.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 1 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Eintracht Frankfurt

0-15'
0%
16-30'
42.9%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
28.6%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
14.3%

More DFB Pokal predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt?+

Our AI model favors Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with a 95.2% probability (Draw 3.32%, SC St. Tönis 1.48%).

Where is SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?+

The match is played at Grotenburg-Stadion, Krefeld.

What time does SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).