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Schott Mainz vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

DFB Pokal· Round of 64
Schott Mainz
0–5Full-time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
LDWWGoals 10-15
LLWWGoals 22-18
MEWA ARENA

MEWA ARENA, Mainz · Capacity 34,034 · grass · Referee: T. Gansloweit

Value found

+18.2% edge

Schott Mainz win

48.54AI fair odds
57.36Bookmaker odds
+18.2%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 22'Hugo Bolin (P. Sander)
  2. 26'I. Lidberg
  3. 26'Daiki Hashioka (Kevin Stöger)
  4. 45+1'K. Diks
  5. 48'Hugo Bolin (Robin Hack)
  6. 56'F. Messina
  7. 56'T. Itoi
  8. 57'J. Leszczynski (Ko Itakura)
  9. 61'Lukas Ullrich (Hugo Bolin)
  10. 63'Lukas Ullrich (D. Herold)
  11. 63'Robin Hack (Franck Honorat)
  12. 67'W. Mohya (Franck Honorat)
  13. 70'Kevin Stöger (E. Leopold)
  14. 70'Hugo Bolin (Shuto Machino)
  15. 74'K. Zeghli (R. Vodi)
  16. 74'A. El Mahaoui
  17. 85'M. Robotta (S. Horozovic)

Lineups

Schott Mainz
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-5-24-2-3-1
32
32. Jan Schulz
24
24. Jan Just
5
5. Nils Gans
6
6. Dominik Ahlbach
17
17. Karim Zeghli
10
10. Jost Mairose
4
← 56'
4. F. Messina
3
← 85'
3. M. Robotta
8
8. Silas Schwarz
11
← 56'
11. T. Itoi
3
3. I. Lidberg
← 63'
25. Robin Hack
36
36. W. Mohya
← 70'
38. Hugo Bolin
← 70'
7. Kevin Stöger
16
16. P. Sander
← 63'
26. Lukas Ullrich
5
← 57'
5. J. Leszczynski
4
4. K. Diks
14. Daiki Hashioka
1. Moritz Nicolas
S. HorozovićCoachEugen Polanski
Bench (3)
Bench (7)
Schott MainzBorussia Mönchengladbach
1.7
Goals/game
2.2
2.5
Conceded/game
1.8

AI match analysis

Schott Mainz win
2.06%
Draw
4.12%
Borussia Mönchengladbach win
93.82%
74.5%BTTS
77.4%Over 2.5
9.5%Schott Mainz clean sheet
17.7%Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-3

Data suggests that Borussia Mönchengladbach enters this match as a strong favorite, given their recent scoring prowess and Schott Mainz's defensive struggles. Historically, Mainz's tendency to concede multiple goals, paired with Mönchengladbach's high-scoring capacity, indicates a potential challenge for the home side in this DFB Pokal encounter.

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach has averaged 2.2 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches.
  • Schott Mainz has conceded an average of 2.5 goals per game in their last 6 matches.
  • Mönchengladbach's recent form includes a dominant 8-0 victory against SSVg Velbert.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Borussia Mönchengladbach

  • Sharper attackBorussia Mönchengladbach

    Borussia Mönchengladbach are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.2/game
  • Tighter defenseBorussia Mönchengladbach

    Borussia Mönchengladbach are conceding just 1.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Borussia Mönchengladbach at 93.82% — final result was Borussia Mönchengladbach win, Schott Mainz 0-5 Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Predicted score was 1-3.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Borussia Mönchengladbach ✓1.02market 98% · model 93.82%
Draw19.50market 5.1% · model 4.12%
Schott Mainz57.36market 1.7% · model 2.06%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Schott Mainz have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 6 matches.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Schott Mainz57.36▲best 90.00
Draw19.50▼best 29.00
Borussia Mönchengladbach1.02best 1.03

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.06best 1.09
Under 2.57.91▼best 9.00

Both teams to score

Yes2.39▲best 2.55
No1.50▼best 1.57

Double chance

Schott Mainz/Draw18.00▼best 20.00
Schott Mainz/Borussia Mönchengladbach1.01best 1.01
Draw/Borussia Mönchengladbach1.00best 1.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Schott Mainz57.36▲ 31.36
Draw19.50▲ 0.50
Borussia Mönchengladbach1.02▲ 0.01
20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

Schott Mainz win+0.4pp
AI
2.06%
Market
1.7%
Draw-0.8pp
AI
4.12%
Market
4.9%
Borussia Mönchengladbach win+0.3pp
AI
93.82%
Market
93.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.67Goals scored per game2.2
2.5Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 6 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0-15'
11.1%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
22.2%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
44.4%
76-90+'
11.1%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Schott Mainz vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?+

Our AI model favors Borussia Mönchengladbach to win, with a 93.82% probability (Draw 4.12%, Schott Mainz 2.06%).

Where is Schott Mainz vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?+

The match is played at MEWA ARENA, Mainz (capacity 34,034).

What time does Schott Mainz vs Borussia Mönchengladbach kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 1:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).