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Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948

First League· Regular Season - 6
Septemvri Sofia
1–0Full-time
CSKA 1948
DWLWGoals 10-108th in league
DWLWGoals 16-84th in league
Home1W 1D 1L(2-4)
Away1W 1D 1L(5-4)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 22'Héctor Cuellar
  2. 37'B. Penchev
  3. 45+1'G. Ivanov
  4. 46'Héctor Cuellar (Brian Sobrero)
  5. 46'A. Iliev (Elias Franco)
  6. 46'Héctor Cuellar (B. Sobrero)
  7. 51'Brian Sobrero (Mamadou Diallo)
  8. 51'B. Sobrero (M. Diallo)
  9. 52'Sebas Wade
  10. 59'Frantzety Herard
  11. 63'Aleksandar Dzhamov (Edney Ribeiro)
  12. 63'André Liberal (Pedro Igor)
  13. 67'Jules Meyer (Florian Krebs)
  14. 72'Moataz Zemzemi (P. Vitanov)
  15. 75'Yoan Baurenski (Stoyan Stoichkov)
  16. 80'G. Ivanov (Valentine Ozornwafor)
  17. 81'Pedro Ferreira
  18. 90+1'Kubrat Onashchi

Lineups

Septemvri Sofia
CSKA 1948
4-2-3-14-2-3-1
12
12. Vladimir Ivanov
3
3. Sebas Wade
13
13. Kubrat Onashchi
4
4. M. Hristov
6
6. Pedro Ferreira
8
8. B. Penchev
5
← 75'
5. Yoan Baurenski
29
29. Frantzety Herard
33
← 80'
33. G. Ivanov
11
← 63'
11. Aleksandar Dzhamov
27
← 63'
27. André Liberal
9
← 46'
9. A. Iliev
30
← 67'
30. Jules Meyer
11. Georgi Rusev
67
67. Frederic Maciel
33
← 46'
33. Héctor Cuellar
8
← 72'
8. Moataz Zemzemi
15
15. Fourat Soltani
5
5. B. Benamar
4. Andre Hoffmann
2
2. Diego Medina
31
31. Aleks Bozhev
Simao FreitasCoachYuriy Vasev
Bench (11)
Bench (11)
Septemvri SofiaCSKA 1948
1.0
Goals/game
1.6
1.0
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Septemvri Sofia win
15.89%
Draw
22.99%
CSKA 1948 win
61.12%
43.2%BTTS
37.7%Over 2.5
27.3%Septemvri Sofia clean sheet
40.7%CSKA 1948 clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests CSKA 1948 is in strong form, having won four of their last five matches, while Septemvri Sofia struggles, managing only one win in their last five. Historically, CSKA 1948 has had the upper hand in recent encounters, winning four out of the last five matches against Septemvri. Given CSKA 1948's solid scoring average and Septemvri's defensive issues, the numbers favor an away victory.

  • CSKA 1948 unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • Septemvri Sofia has a -6 goal difference this season
  • CSKA 1948 scored 1.6 goals per game over the last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
98/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors CSKA 1948

  • Historical edgeCSKA 1948

    CSKA 1948 have won 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

    6/7 H2H wins
  • Weak home recordSeptemvri Sofia

    Septemvri Sofia have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.

    1/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordCSKA 1948

    CSKA 1948 have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.

    1/3 away wins
  • Sharper attackCSKA 1948

    CSKA 1948 are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked CSKA 1948 at 61.12% — final result was Septemvri Sofia win, Septemvri Sofia 1-0 CSKA 1948.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (98/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

CSKA 19481.54market 65.1% · model 61.12%
Draw3.86market 25.9% · model 22.99%
Septemvri Sofia ✓5.60market 17.8% · model 15.89%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Septemvri Sofia have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • CSKA 1948 have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

0Septemvri Sofia wins
1Draws
6CSKA 1948 wins
4-15Goals
Septemvri Sofia
1–4Dec 3, 2025, 11:00 AM
CSKA 1948
CSKA 1948
2–1Aug 1, 2025, 6:15 PM
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA 1948
2–0May 11, 2025, 5:30 PM
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA 1948
2–0Dec 3, 2024, 10:30 AM
Septemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1–1Sep 25, 2024, 2:30 PM
CSKA 1948
Septemvri Sofia
1–3Apr 14, 2023, 12:45 PM
CSKA 1948
CSKA 1948
1–0Sep 16, 2022, 4:30 PM
Septemvri Sofia

Odds comparison

Match winner

Septemvri Sofia5.60▲best 6.00
Draw3.86▼best 4.10
CSKA 19481.54best 1.65

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.87▼best 1.94
Under 2.51.87▲best 1.97

Both teams to score

Yes1.90▼best 1.95
No1.80▲best 1.87

Double chance

Septemvri Sofia/Draw2.35▲best 2.40
Septemvri Sofia/CSKA 19481.21▼best 1.25
Draw/CSKA 19481.11best 1.16

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.50▼best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.14▲best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.67▼best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.10▲best 2.10

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Septemvri Sofia5.60▼ 0.58
Draw3.86▼ 0.02
CSKA 19481.54▲ 0.06
20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

Septemvri Sofia win-0.5pp
AI
15.89%
Market
16.4%
Draw-0.8pp
AI
22.99%
Market
23.8%
CSKA 1948 win+1.3pp
AI
61.12%
Market
59.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Septemvri Sofia
6213-57WLLL
4
CSKA 1948
6411+613WWWW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.6
1Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

Radoslav Gidzhenov

6Yellow cards / game
0.5Red cards / game
0.5Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Septemvri Sofia

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
16.7%

CSKA 1948

0-15'
18.2%
16-30'
18.2%
31-45'
18.2%
46-60'
9.1%
61-75'
9.1%
76-90+'
27.3%

Match statistics

—%Possession—%
—Expected goals (xG)—
—Shots on target—
—Total shots—
—Shots off target—
—Blocked shots—
—Shots inside the box—
—Shots outside the box—
—Corners—
—Offsides—
—Fouls—
5Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
—Goalkeeper saves—
—Total passes—
—Accurate passes—
—%Pass accuracy—%

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26.01
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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948?+

Our AI model favors CSKA 1948 to win, with a 61.12% probability (Draw 22.99%, Septemvri Sofia 15.89%).

What time does Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).