Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon

Super League· Regular Season - 23
WWWLGoals 26-146th in league
WDLLGoals 16-1716th in league
Home7W 3D 2L(28-17)
Away1W 1D 11L(15-32)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 8'Cryzan (V. Kazaishvili)
  2. 12'Yang Liu
  3. 13'Yonghao Jin (Chuangyi Lin)
  4. 21'Zeca
  5. 46'Mijit Mewlan (Wenneng Xie)
  6. 46'Pedro Álvaro (Yang Ruiqi)
  7. 62'Song Long (Sun Zheng'ao)
  8. 62'Song Wenjie (Xinyu Liu)
  9. 63'Hailong Li (Wang Qiao)
  10. 64'Zhengyu Huang (Memet Imran)
  11. 64'Zeca (R. Merkies)
  12. 65'R. Merkies
  13. 67'Senwen Luo
  14. 68'Yangyang Jin (Liu Jiashen)
  15. 76'Cryzan (Shi Songchen)
  16. 81'Senwen Luo (Gong Ruicong)
  17. 90+4'Shi Songchen
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Shandong LunengQingdao Jonoon
2.6
Goals/game
1.6
1.4
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

Shandong Luneng win
69%
Draw
17%
Qingdao Jonoon win
14%
68.6%BTTS
70.6%Over 2.5
22.3%Shandong Luneng clean sheet
11.6%Qingdao Jonoon clean sheet

Predicted score: 3-1

Data suggests that Shandong Luneng is in significantly better form compared to Qingdao Jonoon, who have struggled recently, losing their last five matches. With Shandong Luneng's strong home performance and scoring average, they are favored to secure a victory. Historically, their head-to-head matches show a relatively even competition, but current form heavily favors the home side.

  • Shandong Luneng ranks 5th and is in strong recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
  • Qingdao Jonoon is at the bottom of the league, ranked 16th, with 5 consecutive losses.
  • Shandong Luneng has a solid home record of 6 wins from 11 matches this season.
  • In their last 10 matches, Shandong Luneng has averaged 2.9 goals scored per game.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Shandong Luneng

  • Higher league positionShandong Luneng

    Shandong Luneng sit 10 places above Qingdao Jonoon in the table.

    #6 vs #16
  • Strong home recordShandong Luneng

    Shandong Luneng have won 7 of their last 12 home matches.

    7/12 home wins
  • Weak away recordQingdao Jonoon

    Qingdao Jonoon have won 1 of their last 13 away matches.

    1/13 away wins
  • Sharper attackShandong Luneng

    Shandong Luneng are averaging 2.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.6/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Shandong Luneng at 69% — final result was Shandong Luneng win, Shandong Luneng 3-1 Qingdao Jonoon.

Predicted score was 3-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Shandong Luneng1.37market 72.8% · model 69%
Draw5.08market 19.7% · model 17%
Qingdao Jonoon6.40market 15.6% · model 14%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Shandong Luneng have averaged 2.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Qingdao Jonoon have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Shandong Luneng wins
3Draws
0Qingdao Jonoon wins
10-6Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Shandong Luneng1.37best 1.47
Draw5.08best 5.72
Qingdao Jonoon6.40best 7.20

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.34best 1.37
Under 2.53.02best 3.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.53best 1.57
No2.34best 2.45

Double chance

Shandong Luneng/Draw1.09best 1.13
Shandong Luneng/Qingdao Jonoon1.13best 1.15
Draw/Qingdao Jonoon2.88best 3.10

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes11.00best 11.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.05best 1.05

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Shandong Luneng1.37 0.05
Draw5.08 0.35
Qingdao Jonoon6.40 0.70
11 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Shandong Luneng win+1.6pp
AI
69%
Market
67.4%
Draw-1.2pp
AI
17%
Market
18.2%
Qingdao Jonoon win-0.4pp
AI
14%
Market
14.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Shandong Luneng
241239+233WWWL
16
Qingdao Jonoon
246315-1414LLLL

Pre-match comparison

2.6Goals scored per game1.6
1.4Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Shandong Luneng

0-15'
0%
16-30'
6.7%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
6.7%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
33.3%

Qingdao Jonoon

0-15'
23.1%
16-30'
7.7%
31-45'
15.4%
46-60'
7.7%
61-75'
7.7%
76-90+'
38.5%

More Super League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon?+

Our AI model favors Shandong Luneng to win, with a 69% probability (Draw 17%, Qingdao Jonoon 14%).

What time does Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 11:35 AM (your local time, based on your device).