Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai · Capacity 56,842 · grass
Match events
- 14'Xi Wu
- 42'G. Ramos
- 49'Dawhan
- 62'Yue Tze-Nam (Gang Wang)
- 62'Yang Liyu (Zhang Xizhe)
- 64'Wang Haijian (Saulo Mineiro)
- 68'Li Songyi
- 73'Cao Yongjing (F. Abreu)
- 75'Cao Yongjing
- 76'Yang Bai (Li Lei)
- 81'L. Asue (Xie Pengfei)
- 81'Gao Tianyi (Xu Haoyang)
- 81'Chan Shinichi (Qipeng Yang)
- 81'Cao Yongjing (Feifan Jia)
- 83'Hou Sen
- 84'Li Lei
- 86'Zhang Xizhe (Yuning Zhang)
- 88'J. Teixeira (Wu Qipeng)
Lineups
- 1.6
- Goals/game
- 2.7
- 1.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests a competitive match with a slight advantage for Beijing Guoan, given their consistent scoring and recent form. Historically, Beijing Guoan has had the upper hand in their head-to-head encounters. Meanwhile, Shanghai Shenhua's recent struggles, particularly at home, may hinder their chances.
- Beijing Guoan has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Shanghai Shenhua
- Shanghai Shenhua has lost 3 of their last 5 matches, including 2 at home
- Beijing Guoan is in stronger recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Shanghai Shenhua
- Sharper attackBeijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan are averaging 2.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.7/game - Good recent formShanghai Shenhua
Shanghai Shenhua have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Tighter defenseShanghai Shenhua
Shanghai Shenhua are conceding just 1.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game conceded - Historical edgeBeijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Shanghai Shenhua at 45.83% — final result was Beijing Guoan win, Shanghai Shenhua 0-3 Beijing Guoan.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (79/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Shanghai Shenhua have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Beijing Guoan have averaged 2.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai ShenhuaBeijing GuoanBeijing GuoanShanghai ShenhuaShanghai ShenhuaBeijing GuoanBeijing GuoanShanghai ShenhuaShanghai ShenhuaBeijing GuoanShanghai ShenhuaBeijing GuoanBeijing GuoanShanghai ShenhuaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 28 | WLWW |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +16 | 37 | DWWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
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Who is likely to win Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?+
Our AI model favors Shanghai Shenhua to win, with a 45.83% probability (Draw 23.42%, Beijing Guoan 30.75%).
Where is Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan played?+
The match is played at Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai (capacity 56,842).
What time does Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 18, 2026, 11:35 AM (your local time, based on your device).