Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye

Super League· Regular Season - 23
LWLWGoals 11-189th in league
WDDDGoals 19-1213th in league
Home6W 2D 4L(25-21)
Away4W 3D 5L(16-21)
Shanghai Stadium

Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai · Capacity 56,842 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 5'Yihao Zhong
  2. 40'Shangyuan Wang
  3. 45+2'Rafael Ratão (João Carlos Teixeira)
  4. 56'L. Asue (Rafael Ratão)
  5. 57'Chan Shinichi (Zexiang Yang)
  6. 64'Chao He (Abdurasul Abudulam)
  7. 64'Yihao Zhong (Osman Ekber)
  8. 67'Haoyang Xu (Pengfei Xie)
  9. 68'L. Asue (Tianyi Gao)
  10. 71'Rafael Ratão (Pengfei Xie)
  11. 71'Tianyi Gao (Pengfei Xie)
  12. 73'Oliver Gerbig (Dalun Zheng)
  13. 74'Rafael Ratão (Saulo Mineiro)
  14. 83'Saulo Mineiro (Tianyi Gao)
  15. 86'Maranhão (Yixin Liu)
  16. 86'Shangyuan Wang (Congyao Yin)
  17. 90+1'Abdurasul Abudulam

Lineups

Shanghai ShenhuaHenan Jianye
1.1
Goals/game
1.9
1.8
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Shanghai Shenhua win
50.58%
Draw
22.94%
Henan Jianye win
26.48%
57.6%BTTS
57.7%Over 2.5
15.7%Shanghai Shenhua clean sheet
31.7%Henan Jianye clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive match with both teams struggling for form. Shanghai Shenhua's recent home performance includes four losses in their last five games, while Henan Jianye has shown resilience with three unbeaten matches. Historical trends indicate a slight advantage for Shanghai in their head-to-head meetings, but current form leans towards a likely draw.

  • Shanghai Shenhua lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Henan Jianye is unbeaten in their last 3 matches
  • Historical head-to-head shows Shanghai has won 3 of the last 5 encounters
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
87/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Shanghai Shenhua

  • Historical edgeShanghai Shenhua

    Shanghai Shenhua have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formShanghai Shenhua

    Shanghai Shenhua have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Strong recent formHenan Jianye

    Henan Jianye are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 1 win.

    1W 4D 0L
  • Sharper attackHenan Jianye

    Henan Jianye are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Shanghai Shenhua at 50.58% — final result was Shanghai Shenhua win, Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 Henan Jianye.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (87/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Shanghai Shenhua1.85market 54.2% · model 50.58%
Henan Jianye3.59market 27.9% · model 26.48%
Draw3.93market 25.5% · model 22.94%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Shanghai Shenhua have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Henan Jianye have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Shanghai Shenhua wins
2Draws
1Henan Jianye wins
13-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Shanghai Shenhua1.85best 1.91
Draw3.93best 4.19
Henan Jianye3.59best 3.90

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.40best 1.43
Under 2.52.76best 2.88

Both teams to score

Yes1.39best 1.42
No2.76best 2.88

Double chance

Shanghai Shenhua/Draw1.25best 1.30
Shanghai Shenhua/Henan Jianye1.22best 1.25
Draw/Henan Jianye1.91best 2.00

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.50best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.28best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.00best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.10best 1.10

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Shanghai Shenhua1.85
Draw3.93 0.08
Henan Jianye3.59 0.12
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Shanghai Shenhua win+0.2pp
AI
50.58%
Market
50.4%
Draw-0.8pp
AI
22.94%
Market
23.7%
Henan Jianye win+0.6pp
AI
26.48%
Market
25.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
9
Shanghai Shenhua
241158+528LWWL
13
Henan Jianye
23869-224LDDW

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.9
1.8Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Shanghai Shenhua

0-15'
20%
16-30'
10%
31-45'
10%
46-60'
30%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
10%

Henan Jianye

0-15'
10%
16-30'
10%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
30%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
10%

More Super League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye?+

Our AI model favors Shanghai Shenhua to win, with a 50.58% probability (Draw 22.94%, Henan Jianye 26.48%).

Where is Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye played?+

The match is played at Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai (capacity 56,842).

What time does Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).