Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolves

League Cup· Round of 64
WWWLGoals 8-12
DDDWGoals 10-19
Hillsborough

Hillsborough, Sheffield · Capacity 39,814 · grass

Value found

+1.6% edge

Wolves win

1.52AI fair odds
1.54Bookmaker odds
+1.6%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 3'Sil Swinkels
  2. 8'Jarvis Thornton
  3. 32'Boubacar Traoré
  4. 45+1'S. Olagunju (Tommy Doyle)
  5. 46'R. Gomes (M. Mane)
  6. 62'Tawanda Chirewa (R. Jimenez)
  7. 62'J. James (M. Munetsi)
  8. 66'Ricardo (Gabriel Otegbayo)
  9. 67'B. Mitchell (Louie Barry)
  10. 67'William Grainger (Barry Bannan)
  11. 72'D. Wolfe (Hugo Bueno)
  12. 72'Sil Swinkels (Max Lowe)
  13. 81'K. Morrison (D. Moses)
  14. 85'S. Olagunju (Toti Gomes)
  15. 86'Harry Gray (J. Lowe)
  16. 88'Tommy Doyle (Fer López)

Lineups

Sheffield WednesdayWolves
0.8
Goals/game
1.0
1.2
Conceded/game
1.9

AI match analysis

Sheffield Wednesday win
14%
Draw
20%
Wolves win
66%
49.4%BTTS
44.3%Over 2.5
33.3%Sheffield Wednesday clean sheet
25.9%Wolves clean sheet

Predicted score: 0-1

Data suggests that Wolves have a strong advantage based on their head-to-head record, remaining unbeaten in the last five encounters against Sheffield Wednesday. Sheffield Wednesday's recent form reveals struggles in scoring, averaging only 0.8 goals across their last ten matches, while Wolves display a slightly better scoring rate despite some defensive vulnerabilities.

  • Wolves unbeaten in last 5 matches against Sheffield Wednesday
  • Sheffield Wednesday averages 0.8 goals scored in their last 10 matches
  • Wolves averages 1 goal scored in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
86/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Wolves

  • Good recent formSheffield Wednesday

    Sheffield Wednesday have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Tighter defenseSheffield Wednesday

    Sheffield Wednesday are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game conceded
  • Historical edgeWolves

    Wolves have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackWolves

    Wolves are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Wolves at 66% — final result was Wolves win, Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 Wolves.

Predicted score was 0-1.

This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Wolves1.54market 64.9% · model 66%
Draw4.18market 24% · model 20%
Sheffield Wednesday5.65market 17.7% · model 14%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Sheffield Wednesday have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Wolves have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Sheffield Wednesday wins
2Draws
4Wolves wins
7-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sheffield Wednesday5.65best 6.60
Draw4.18best 4.60
Wolves1.54best 1.62

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.68best 1.75
Under 2.52.14best 2.22

Both teams to score

Yes1.74best 1.81
No1.99best 2.10

Double chance

Sheffield Wednesday/Draw2.42best 2.50
Sheffield Wednesday/Wolves1.20best 1.24
Draw/Wolves1.14best 1.17

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.10best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.38best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.23best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.60best 1.62

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sheffield Wednesday5.65 0.75
Draw4.17 0.40
Wolves1.54 0.09
22 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Sheffield Wednesday win-2.6pp
AI
14%
Market
16.6%
Draw-2.5pp
AI
20%
Market
22.5%
Wolves win+5.1pp
AI
66%
Market
60.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game1
1.2Goals conceded per game1.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Sheffield Wednesday

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
66.7%
76-90+'
0%

Wolves

0-15'
20%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
40%

More League Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolves?+

Our AI model favors Wolves to win, with a 66% probability (Draw 20%, Sheffield Wednesday 14%).

Where is Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolves played?+

The match is played at Hillsborough, Sheffield (capacity 39,814).

What time does Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolves kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).