Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Aresimi
Value found
+8.6% edgeAresimi win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 0.5
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
The data suggests a closely contested matchup, with Shkëndija Haraçinë having an edge at home, albeit with a single draw recorded this season. Aresimi's poor away form further complicates their chances, as they have yet to secure a point on the road. The most likely scoreline appears to be a 1-0 victory for the home side, supported by their recent performance and Aresimi's defensive struggles.
- Shkëndija Haraçinë unbeaten at home this season with 1 draw.
- Aresimi struggling away, with no points from 2 games.
- Aresimi has a worse goal differential (-7) compared to Shkëndija Haraçinë (-2).
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Shkëndija Haraçinë
- Sharper attackAresimi
Aresimi are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game - Tighter defenseShkëndija Haraçinë
Shkëndija Haraçinë are conceding just 0.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.5/game conceded - Higher league positionAresimi
Aresimi sit 1 place above Shkëndija Haraçinë in the table.
#7 vs #8
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Limited recent-match sample
Shkëndija Haraçinë has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Shkëndija Haraçinë at 49% — final result was Aresimi win, Shkëndija Haraçinë 0-2 Aresimi.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Shkëndija Haraçinë have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 2 matches.
- Aresimi have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |  Shkëndija Haraçinë | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 | LWDL |
| 7 |  Aresimi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 6 | WWLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 2 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Shkëndija Haraçinë
Aresimi
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Bashkimi KumanovoShkëndija HaraçinëFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Aresimi?+
Our AI model favors Shkëndija Haraçinë to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 28%, Aresimi 23%).
What time does Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Aresimi kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).