Shkendija vs Hibernian

UEFA Europa Conference League· 3rd Qualifying Round
Shkendija
00Full-time
Hibernian
WWWWGoals 22-12
WWDLGoals 12-13
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 45'A. Trumci
  2. 50'Jason Kerr
  3. 63'Callum Wright (J. McGrath)
  4. 64'A. Zejnulai (E. Krasniqi)
  5. 71'Owen Elding (M. Boyle)
  6. 81'Felix Passlack (K. Megwa)
  7. 82'Adam Mayor (Josh Campbell)
  8. 82'J. Mulligan (Joe Newell)
  9. 83'Rafa
  10. 84'A. Meljichi (B. Ibraimi)
  11. 86'M. Chaiwa
  12. 86'F. Tamba
Lineups unavailable for this match.
ShkendijaHibernian
2.2
Goals/game
1.2
1.2
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Shkendija win
35.72%
Draw
26.69%
Hibernian win
37.6%
57.7%BTTS
56.6%Over 2.5
30.1%Shkendija clean sheet
17.4%Hibernian clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that Hibernian enters this match in favorable form, having won three of their last five games, compared to Shkendija's poor run, which includes four losses in their last five. Despite both teams averaging 1.2 goals scored per game, Hibernian's stronger defensive statistics indicate they may secure a victory. The bookmaker-implied probabilities align with the analysis, favoring an away win.

  • Hibernian has won 3 of their last 5 matches, showing strong form.
  • Shkendija has lost 4 of their last 5 matches, indicating struggles.
  • Both teams average 1.2 goals per match recently, but Hibernian has a better defensive record with only 1 goal conceded per game on average.
AI ConfidenceLow confidence
48/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Hibernian

  • Good recent formShkendija

    Shkendija have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Tighter defenseHibernian

    Hibernian are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Hibernian at 37.6% — final result was a draw, Shkendija 0-0 Hibernian.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (48/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Hibernian2.46market 40.6% · model 37.6%
Shkendija2.59market 38.6% · model 35.72%
Draw3.42market 29.2% · model 26.69%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Shkendija have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Hibernian have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Shkendija2.59best 2.70
Draw3.42best 3.60
Hibernian2.46best 2.60

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.74best 1.80
Under 2.52.03best 2.14

Both teams to score

Yes1.60best 1.73
No2.20best 2.32

Double chance

Shkendija/Draw1.50best 1.57
Shkendija/Hibernian1.27best 1.30
Draw/Hibernian1.45best 1.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.25

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Shkendija2.59 0.21
Draw3.42 0.09
Hibernian2.46 0.10
13 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

Shkendija win+0.1pp
AI
35.72%
Market
35.6%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
26.69%
Market
26.9%
Hibernian win+0.1pp
AI
37.6%
Market
37.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2.2Goals scored per game1.2
1.2Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Shkendija

0-15'
0%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
33.3%

Hibernian

0-15'
42.9%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
28.6%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
28.6%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Shkendija vs Hibernian?+

Our AI model favors Hibernian to win, with a 37.6% probability (Draw 26.69%, Shkendija 35.72%).

What time does Shkendija vs Hibernian kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).