Šiauliai vs Panevėžys
Match events
- 4'V. Cerniauskas
- 6'M. Bačanin (A. Brazinskas)
- 9'D. Dovydaitis (D. Ikaunieks)
- 38'L. Vukovic
- 46'V. Paulauskas (K. Asamoah)
- 61'D. Hasanović (K. Zebrauskas)
- 61'D. Romanovskij
- 66'R. Rasimavicius (Elivelton)
- 66'N. Petkevicius (O. Kurtsev)
- 77'A. Baftalovskyi (A. Valuckas)
- 78'D. Dovydaitis (D. Jarasius)
- 81'D. Balsys
- 84'D. Balsys (I. Asante)
- 88'M. Dapkus (G. Micevicius)
- 88'D. Ikaunieks (K. Gustas)
- 90+3'G. Micevicius
- 1.7
- Goals/game
- 1.9
- 2.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Panevėžys is in better form, having secured 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while Šiauliai is on a five-game losing streak. Additionally, Šiauliai's poor home record and tendency to concede goals could be pivotal as they face a Panevėžys side that has performed well recently.
- Panevėžys has won 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Šiauliai has lost their last 5 matches with an average of 2 goals conceded per game.
- In head-to-head encounters, Panevėžys has a slight edge with 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Panevėžys
- Poor recent formŠiauliai
Šiauliai have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L - Good recent formPanevėžys
Panevėžys have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Tighter defensePanevėžys
Panevėžys are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game conceded - Historical edgeŠiauliai
Šiauliai have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Panevėžys at 45% — final result was Šiauliai win, Šiauliai 1-0 Panevėžys.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Šiauliai have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Panevėžys have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Šiauliai
PanevėžysPanevėžysŠiauliaiŠiauliaiPanevėžysPanevėžysŠiauliaiPanevėžysŠiauliaiŠiauliaiPanevėžysPanevėžysŠiauliaiŠiauliaiPanevėžysOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Šiauliai
Panevėžys
More A Lyga predictions
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Hegelmann LitauenFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Šiauliai vs Panevėžys?+
Our AI model favors Panevėžys to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 25%, Šiauliai 30%).
What time does Šiauliai vs Panevėžys kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).