Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown

Super League· Regular Season - 24
WLDWGoals 11-1110th in league
DLDLGoals 20-2011th in league
Home6W 2D 4L(23-16)
Away3W 3D 6L(16-23)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 51'Rui Yu
  2. 57'Zhang Yufeng
  3. 57'Dai Wai Tsun (Xia Dalong)
  4. 58'Xia Dalong
  5. 65'Qianglong Tao (M. Tolić)
  6. 72'Cheng Jin (Jiaqi Zhang)
  7. 77'Xu Junchi
  8. 80'A. Ademi (Li Ning)
  9. 84'Felippe Cardoso (Wang Yudong)
  10. 87'Tian Yifan (Junsheng Yao)
  11. 87'Rui Yu (Jianfei Zhao)
  12. 90+3'Xu Junchi (Tong Lei)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Sichuan JiuniuHangzhou Greentown
1.1
Goals/game
2.0
1.1
Conceded/game
2.0

AI match analysis

Sichuan Jiuniu win
37%
Draw
26%
Hangzhou Greentown win
37%
62.1%BTTS
59.9%Over 2.5
21.2%Sichuan Jiuniu clean sheet
21.2%Hangzhou Greentown clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests a competitive matchup between Sichuan Jiuniu and Hangzhou Greentown. Sichuan Jiuniu's recent home success contrasts with Hangzhou Greentown's disappointing away form, yet past head-to-head results favor the visitors. The expected scoreline of 1-2 reflects these competing narratives.

  • Sichuan Jiuniu has a solid home record of 6 wins this season.
  • Hangzhou Greentown has lost 3 of their last 5 matches, indicating poor form.
  • Historically, Hangzhou Greentown has won 3 out of the last 4 encounters against Sichuan Jiuniu.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
67/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Sichuan Jiuniu

  • Good recent formSichuan Jiuniu

    Sichuan Jiuniu have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Historical edgeHangzhou Greentown

    Hangzhou Greentown have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    3/4 H2H wins
  • Strong home recordSichuan Jiuniu

    Sichuan Jiuniu have won 6 of their last 12 home matches.

    6/12 home wins
  • Weak away recordHangzhou Greentown

    Hangzhou Greentown have won 3 of their last 12 away matches.

    3/12 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Sichuan Jiuniu at 37% — final result was a draw, Sichuan Jiuniu 1-1 Hangzhou Greentown.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Hangzhou Greentown2.50market 40% · model 37%
Sichuan Jiuniu2.51market 39.8% · model 37%
Draw3.57market 28% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Sichuan Jiuniu have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Hangzhou Greentown have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Sichuan Jiuniu wins
0Draws
3Hangzhou Greentown wins
5-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sichuan Jiuniu2.51best 2.60
Draw3.57best 3.76
Hangzhou Greentown2.50best 2.61

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.47best 1.53
Under 2.52.50best 2.61

Both teams to score

Yes1.42best 1.46
No2.66best 2.75

Double chance

Sichuan Jiuniu/Draw1.48best 1.53
Sichuan Jiuniu/Hangzhou Greentown1.26best 1.30
Draw/Hangzhou Greentown1.49best 1.52

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.20best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.33best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.18best 1.18

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sichuan Jiuniu2.51 0.03
Draw3.57 0.04
Hangzhou Greentown2.50 0.02
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Sichuan Jiuniu win+0.1pp
AI
37%
Market
36.9%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
26%
Market
25.9%
Hangzhou Greentown win-0.1pp
AI
37%
Market
37.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
10
Sichuan Jiuniu
248313-1027WLWL
11
Hangzhou Greentown
23869-625LLWD

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game2
1.1Goals conceded per game2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Sichuan Jiuniu

0-15'
37.5%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
37.5%
46-60'
12.5%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
12.5%

Hangzhou Greentown

0-15'
8.3%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
8.3%
76-90+'
16.7%

More Super League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown?+

Our AI model favors Sichuan Jiuniu to win, with a 37% probability (Draw 26%, Hangzhou Greentown 37%).

What time does Sichuan Jiuniu vs Hangzhou Greentown kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:35 AM (your local time, based on your device).