Sireți vs Sheriff Tiraspol
Value found
+14.5% edgeSireți win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 42'J. Asprilla Moreno
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Sheriff Tiraspol enters this match with a strong away record and significant recent form, having won their last two away games. In contrast, Sireți has struggled this season, particularly at home, where they remain winless. Given these factors, the numbers indicate a higher likelihood of Sheriff Tiraspol securing a victory.
- Sheriff Tiraspol unbeaten in last 3 away games
- Sireți has yet to win at home this season
- Sheriff Tiraspol currently sits at the top of the league table
- Sireți's recent form shows 4 consecutive draws and 1 loss
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Sheriff Tiraspol
- Weak home recordSireți
Sireți have won 0 of their last 5 home matches.
0/5 home wins - Strong away recordSheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol have won 2 of their last 4 away matches.
2/4 away wins - Higher league positionSheriff Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol sit 6 places above Sireți in the table.
#1 vs #7 - Strong recent formSireți
Sireți are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Sheriff Tiraspol at 77% — final result was a draw, Sireți 1-1 Sheriff Tiraspol.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (93/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sireți have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sheriff Tiraspol have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 9 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |  Sireți | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 6 | DDDD |
| 1 |  Sheriff Tiraspol | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +15 | 21 | DWWD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Sheriff Tiraspol
More Super Liga predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sireți vs Sheriff Tiraspol?+
Our AI model favors Sheriff Tiraspol to win, with a 77% probability (Draw 14%, Sireți 9%).
What time does Sireți vs Sheriff Tiraspol kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).