Skive vs Esbjerg

DBU Pokalen· Round of 64
Skive
15Full-time
Esbjerg
LLLWGoals 22-13
LLLLGoals 11-18
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 21'A. Ahmad
  2. 29'A. Ahmad
  3. 44'A. Sonderskov
  4. 52'M. Brajanac
  5. 67'C. Kudsk
  6. 71'M. Brajanac
Lineups unavailable for this match.
SkiveEsbjerg
2.2
Goals/game
1.1
1.3
Conceded/game
1.8

AI match analysis

Skive win
21%
Draw
24%
Esbjerg win
55%
60.4%BTTS
62%Over 2.5
30.1%Skive clean sheet
13.5%Esbjerg clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Esbjerg may have the upper hand, given Skive's inconsistent performance with only one win in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Esbjerg's defense appears vulnerable, contributing to a poor recent run of five consecutive losses. The scoring averages indicate that Skive nets a higher number of goals, yet their overall form may not equate to sufficient advantage against a struggling Esbjerg side.

  • Skive has won 1 of their last 5 matches.
  • Esbjerg has lost their last 5 matches.
  • Skive averages 2.2 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches.
  • Esbjerg averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game over their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
73/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Esbjerg

  • Poor recent formSkive

    Skive have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Poor recent formEsbjerg

    Esbjerg have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 0D 5L
  • Sharper attackSkive

    Skive are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.2/game
  • Tighter defenseSkive

    Skive are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Esbjerg at 55% — final result was Esbjerg win, Skive 1-5 Esbjerg.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Esbjerg1.60market 62.4% · model 55%
Draw3.83market 26.1% · model 24%
Skive4.60market 21.7% · model 21%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Skive have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Esbjerg have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Skive4.60best 5.00
Draw3.83best 4.35
Esbjerg1.60best 1.65

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.61best 1.67
Under 2.52.16best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.63best 1.70
No2.12best 2.20

Double chance

Skive/Draw2.11best 2.25
Skive/Esbjerg1.19best 1.25
Draw/Esbjerg1.14best 1.18

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.50best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.50best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.00best 6.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.12best 1.12

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Skive4.60 0.36
Draw3.83 0.07
Esbjerg1.60 0.05
24 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Skive win+1.3pp
AI
21%
Market
19.7%
Draw+0.3pp
AI
24%
Market
23.7%
Esbjerg win-1.6pp
AI
55%
Market
56.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2.2Goals scored per game1.1
1.3Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Skive

0-15'
20%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
20%

Esbjerg

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

More DBU Pokalen predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Skive vs Esbjerg?+

Our AI model favors Esbjerg to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 24%, Skive 21%).

What time does Skive vs Esbjerg kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).