Skjold Sæby vs Espergærde

DBU Pokalen· Round of 64
WLWLGoals 20-22
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 34'S. Thers
  2. 44'S. Thers
  3. 50'Paulsen
Lineups unavailable for this match.

AI match analysis

Skjold Sæby win
36%
Draw
25%
Espergærde win
39%

Predicted score: 2-3

Data suggests a competitive encounter as Skjold Sæby has struggled defensively, averaging 2.2 goals conceded in their recent matches. Meanwhile, Espergærde's current form appears more favorable. The numbers favor an away win, with a predicted score of 3-2 in favor of Espergærde.

  • Skjold Sæby conceded an average of 2.2 goals in their last 10 matches
  • Espergærde has a better recent form compared to Skjold Sæby
  • Bookmaker-implied probabilities show a close matchup favoring the away team
AI ConfidenceLow confidence
42/100

Confidence is low because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

What could change the prediction

  • Below-average model confidence

    Overall model confidence for this match is 42/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.

  • Limited recent-match sample

    Espergærde has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Espergærde at 39% — final result was Skjold Sæby win, Skjold Sæby 3-0 Espergærde.

Predicted score was 2-3.

The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (42/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Espergærde2.29market 43.7% · model 39%
Skjold Sæby2.54market 39.4% · model 36%
Draw3.64market 27.4% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Skjold Sæby have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Skjold Sæby2.54best 2.55
Draw3.64best 3.80
Espergærde2.29best 2.37

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.45best 1.46
Under 2.52.44best 2.55

Both teams to score

Yes1.41best 1.42
No2.65best 2.75

Double chance

Skjold Sæby/Draw1.50best 1.53
Skjold Sæby/Espergærde1.20best 1.22
Draw/Espergærde1.42best 1.48

Average and best price across 7 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Skjold Sæby2.54 0.01
Draw3.64 0.02
Espergærde2.29 0.04
24 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Skjold Sæby win+0.4pp
AI
36%
Market
35.6%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
25%
Market
24.8%
Espergærde win-0.5pp
AI
39%
Market
39.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

When do they score?

Skjold Sæby

0-15'
0%
16-30'
100%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More DBU Pokalen predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Skjold Sæby vs Espergærde?+

Our AI model favors Espergærde to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 25%, Skjold Sæby 36%).

What time does Skjold Sæby vs Espergærde kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).