Sochaux vs Guingamp
Match events
- 14'Boubacar Fofana (S. Agouzoul)
- 19'Ortolá
- 20'S. Baghdadi (S. Baghdadi)
- 1.6
- Goals/game
- 0.7
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests a competitive matchup, but recent form hints at Guingamp having the edge. Traditionally, they have performed well against Sochaux, winning 2 of the last 5 meetings. Sochaux's lackluster start leaves them vulnerable, especially as they have only managed to score an average of 1.6 in their last 10 matches against a team conceding less than 1.3 goals per game.
- Guingamp ranked 8th with 3 points from 2 matches
- Sochaux has 1 point from 2 matches and a goal difference of -3
- Last 5 head-to-head encounters show Sochaux winning 3 while Guingamp won 2
- Guingamp's last 5 matches show a struggling offense averaging 0.7 goals scored per game
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Guingamp
- Higher league positionSochaux
Sochaux sit 1 place above Guingamp in the table.
#11 vs #12 - Poor recent formGuingamp
Guingamp have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Sharper attackSochaux
Sochaux are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game - Historical edgeSochaux
Sochaux have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Guingamp at 35.79% — final result was Sochaux win, Sochaux 1-0 Guingamp.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sochaux have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Guingamp have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Guingamp
SochauxSochauxGuingampGuingampSochauxSochauxGuingampGuingampSochauxSochauxGuingampGuingampSochauxGuingampSochauxOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Guingamp
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PAUFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sochaux vs Guingamp?+
Our AI model favors Guingamp to win, with a 35.79% probability (Draw 29.45%, Sochaux 34.76%).
What time does Sochaux vs Guingamp kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).