Sogdiana vs Qizilqum

Super League· Regular Season - 18
Sogdiana
21Full-time
Qizilqum
LLWLGoals 12-1310th in league
DLWWGoals 12-1911th in league
Home4W 1D 4L(17-19)
Away2W 1D 6L(5-14)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 38'L. Doriev
  2. 46'L. Ratković (R. Roziev)
  3. 50'N. Soyibov
  4. 53'O. Jo‘raqo‘ziev
  5. 55'O. Karimov (J. Kaxramonov)
  6. 55'Petar Mićin (D. Zajmović)
  7. 56'Maykon Douglas
  8. 57'S. Mavlonqulov
  9. 70'S. Mavlonqulov (Z. Urinboev)
  10. 71'B. Dzhumatov (A. Abdurashidov)
  11. 71'S. Rakhmatullaev (J. Jighauri)
  12. 72'S. Turopov (F. Jumankuziev)
  13. 75'D. Zajmović
  14. 78'Maykon Douglas (F. Juraev)
  15. 86'D. Rahmatilloyev (I. Vakhobov)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
SogdianaQizilqum
1.2
Goals/game
1.2
1.3
Conceded/game
1.9

AI match analysis

Sogdiana win
48%
Draw
28%
Qizilqum win
24%
56.2%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
28.7%Sogdiana clean sheet
21.2%Qizilqum clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Sogdiana, buoyed by three recent victories, is positioned favorably ahead of this matchup against Qizilqum, whom they've historically performed well against. With a solid home record and Qizilqum's ongoing defensive issues, Sogdiana may be able to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a win.

  • Sogdiana has won 3 of their last 5 matches, indicating a strong recent form.
  • Sogdiana remains unbeaten in their last 5 home games against Qizilqum.
  • Qizilqum has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
83/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Sogdiana

  • Tighter defenseSogdiana

    Sogdiana are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded
  • Poor recent formSogdiana

    Sogdiana have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Strong home recordSogdiana

    Sogdiana have won 4 of their last 9 home matches.

    4/9 home wins
  • Weak away recordQizilqum

    Qizilqum have won 2 of their last 9 away matches.

    2/9 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Sogdiana at 48% — final result was Sogdiana win, Sogdiana 2-1 Qizilqum.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (83/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Sogdiana1.83market 54.8% · model 48%
Draw3.33market 30.1% · model 28%
Qizilqum3.96market 25.2% · model 24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Sogdiana have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Qizilqum have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Sogdiana wins
2Draws
3Qizilqum wins
9-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sogdiana1.83best 1.95
Draw3.33best 3.56
Qizilqum3.96best 4.46

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.98best 2.10
Under 2.51.74best 1.85

Both teams to score

Yes1.82best 1.85
No1.85best 1.91

Double chance

Sogdiana/Draw1.19best 1.22
Sogdiana/Qizilqum1.25best 1.30
Draw/Qizilqum1.84best 1.91

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sogdiana1.83 0.08
Draw3.33 0.04
Qizilqum3.96 0.41
17 Aug18 Aug

Model vs market

Sogdiana win-1.8pp
AI
48%
Market
49.8%
Draw+0.7pp
AI
28%
Market
27.3%
Qizilqum win+1.1pp
AI
24%
Market
22.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
10
Sogdiana
19739-724WWWW
11
Qizilqum
197210-923LWLL

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.2
1.3Goals conceded per game1.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Sogdiana

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
100%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Qizilqum

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
66.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Super League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Sogdiana vs Qizilqum?+

Our AI model favors Sogdiana to win, with a 48% probability (Draw 28%, Qizilqum 24%).

What time does Sogdiana vs Qizilqum kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 18, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).