Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland

Superliga· Regular Season - 4
LWLLGoals 11-2312th in league
WWWWGoals 18-73rd in league
Home0W 1D 2L(2-6)
Away1W 1D 0L(4-1)
Sydbank Park

Sydbank Park, Haderslev · Capacity 10,000 · grass · Referee: M. Krogh

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 22'Justin Janssen
  2. 28'S. Emini
  3. 33'V. Berthelsen
  4. 44'M. Walker (M. Brink)
  5. 46'J. Lahteenmaki (R. Norheim)
  6. 46'Justin Janssen (N. Rojkjaer)
  7. 46'A. Lind (I. Adel)
  8. 60'M. Walker (I. Adel)
  9. 61'S. Emini (A. Hoeg)
  10. 62'M. Hoppe (B. Tambedou)
  11. 62'M. Haidara (D. Wilkins)
  12. 64'Levy Nene (H. Rasmussen)
  13. 74'B. Bjarnason (G. Wagner)
  14. 75'I. Seydi
  15. 82'Daniel Leo Gretarsson (P. Kristensen)
  16. 85'M. Brink (P. Ankersen)
  17. 87'V. Berthelsen (H. Rasmussen)

Lineups

SonderjyskeFC Nordsjaelland
1.1
Goals/game
1.8
2.3
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

Sonderjyske win
22.74%
Draw
21.72%
FC Nordsjaelland win
55.54%
51.7%BTTS
56.6%Over 2.5
12.9%Sonderjyske clean sheet
40.7%FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that FC Nordsjaelland enters this match in strong form, having won their last three games, including a decisive victory of 4-1 against Sonderjyske in their previous encounter. Conversely, Sonderjyske has struggled this season with only one point from four matches and has a concerning average of 2.3 goals conceded per game.

  • FC Nordsjaelland has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Sonderjyske.
  • Sonderjyske has lost their last 3 matches and has only 1 point from 4 games this season.
  • FC Nordsjaelland is in better recent form with 3 consecutive wins. The last away match also resulted in a win against Sonderjyske.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
94/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC Nordsjaelland

  • Poor recent formSonderjyske

    Sonderjyske have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Strong recent formFC Nordsjaelland

    FC Nordsjaelland are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.

    5W 0D 0L
  • Tighter defenseFC Nordsjaelland

    FC Nordsjaelland are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Higher league positionFC Nordsjaelland

    FC Nordsjaelland sit 9 places above Sonderjyske in the table.

    #3 vs #12

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked FC Nordsjaelland at 55.54% — final result was FC Nordsjaelland win, Sonderjyske 0-3 FC Nordsjaelland.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (94/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Nordsjaelland1.74market 57.5% · model 55.54%
Sonderjyske4.01market 24.9% · model 22.74%
Draw4.08market 24.5% · model 21.72%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Sonderjyske have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Sonderjyske wins
2Draws
5FC Nordsjaelland wins
7-16Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sonderjyske4.01best 4.33
Draw4.08best 4.44
FC Nordsjaelland1.74best 1.85

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.43best 1.50
Under 2.52.70best 2.88

Both teams to score

Yes1.44best 1.47
No2.59best 2.63

Double chance

Sonderjyske/Draw2.03best 2.12
Sonderjyske/FC Nordsjaelland1.21best 1.25
Draw/FC Nordsjaelland1.23best 1.28

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes7.00best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.10best 1.10

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sonderjyske4.01 0.45
Draw4.08 0.25
FC Nordsjaelland1.74 0.09
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Sonderjyske win-0.6pp
AI
22.74%
Market
23.3%
Draw-1.2pp
AI
21.72%
Market
22.9%
FC Nordsjaelland win+1.7pp
AI
55.54%
Market
53.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
12
Sonderjyske
5014-61LDLL
3
FC Nordsjaelland
4310+510WWWD

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.8
2.3Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Krogh

4.6Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.2Penalties scored / game

Based on 10 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Sonderjyske

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

FC Nordsjaelland

0-15'
28.6%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
42.9%
76-90+'
14.3%

More Superliga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland?+

Our AI model favors FC Nordsjaelland to win, with a 55.54% probability (Draw 21.72%, Sonderjyske 22.74%).

Where is Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland played?+

The match is played at Sydbank Park, Haderslev (capacity 10,000).

What time does Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).