Sparta Brno vs Baník Ostrava
Value found
+61.9% edgeSparta Brno win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 11'V. Skrkon
- 16'V. Jurečka
- 24'V. Skrkon
- 34'V. Skrkon
- 41'V. Skrkon
- 46'Substitution 1 (I. Gabriel)
- 46'F. Kubala (J. Micek)
- 46'J. Boula (F. Sancl)
- 46'V. Jurečka (A. Musak)
- 46'Maksym Diachuk (D. Gilbert)
- 46'A. Bewene (M. Kmet)
- 60'T. Belehradek
- 60'F. Hubel
- 60'M. Sedlo
- 61'F. Sancl
- 64'V. Skrkon
- 67'V. Skrkon
- 71'T. Belehradek
- 78'T. Kosut
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 0.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Baník Ostrava enters this match in better form, having won 4 of their last 5 games compared to Sparta Brno's mixed results. The numbers also indicate that while Spartan Brno has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals, Baník's attack is more potent, allowing them to score an average of 1.7 goals per match in their last 10 outings.
- Baník Ostrava has won 4 of their last 5 matches
- Sparta Brno has conceded an average of 1.5 goals in their last 6 matches
- Baník Ostrava has a strong away record, netting 5 goals in their last away match
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Baník Ostrava
- Good recent formBaník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Tighter defenseBaník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded - Sharper attackSparta Brno
Sparta Brno are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Baník Ostrava at 86.19% — final result was Baník Ostrava win, Sparta Brno 0-9 Baník Ostrava.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sparta Brno have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 6 matches.
- Baník Ostrava have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 6 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Sparta Brno
Baník Ostrava
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sparta Brno vs Baník Ostrava?+
Our AI model favors Baník Ostrava to win, with a 86.19% probability (Draw 8.54%, Sparta Brno 5.27%).
What time does Sparta Brno vs Baník Ostrava kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).