Sparta Praha vs Teplice — Czech Liga

Czech Liga· Regular Season - 4

Sparta Praha

4–1Full-time

Teplice

WLWLLWGoals 16-95th in league

LLWDLWGoals 20-169th in league

Home2W 0D 0L(7-2)

Away1W 0D 1L(2-4)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

9'Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal (Andy Irving)
25'L. Marecek
36'Andy Irving (Josimar Alcócer)
39'Josimar Alcócer (J. Mercado)
46'M. Bilek (J. Svanda)
46'J. Auta (Ladislav Krejčí)
56'Marcel Čermák (Matěj Náprstek)
65'Roman Macek (S. Eneme)
67'M. Suchomel
70'M. Riznic (L. Takács)
73'Andy Irving (H. Sochurek)
74'J. Mercado (M. Jurasek)
77'Josimar Alcócer
79'Matej Radosta (T. Zlatohlavek)
84'Josimar Alcócer (M. Rynes)
85'Josimar Alcócer (E. Singhateh)
86'M. Suchomel (J. Zelený)
89'L. Takács

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Sparta PrahaTeplice

1.6
Goals/game: 2.0; 0.9
Conceded/game: 1.6

AI match analysis

Sparta Praha win

66%

Draw

21%

Teplice win

13%

61.1%BTTS

58.8%Over 2.5

23.5%Sparta Praha clean sheet

20.2%Teplice clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Sparta Praha, despite their recent mixed form, holds a significant advantage at home and has performed well against Teplice historically. They have a solid home record, contributing to their higher winning probability. With Teplice's ability to score but also a tendency to concede, a close match with Sparta edging it 2-1 appears likely.

Sparta Praha has a strong home record this season with 1 win from 1 match played.
Teplice is currently 4th in the standings, showing better overall form with 7 points from 3 matches.
Historically, Sparta Praha has had the edge in recent encounters against Teplice, winning 3 of the last 5 matchups.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

99/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Sparta Praha

Historical edgeSparta Praha
Sparta Praha have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Good recent formSparta Praha
Sparta Praha have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Good recent formTeplice
Teplice have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Sharper attackTeplice
Teplice are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Sparta Praha at 66% — final result was Sparta Praha win, Sparta Praha 4-1 Teplice.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (99/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Sparta Praha ✓1.40market 71.7% · model 66%

Draw4.46market 22.4% · model 21%

Teplice7.15market 14% · model 13%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Sparta Praha have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Teplice have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Sparta Praha wins

4Draws

0Teplice wins

17-9Goals

Teplice

0–1Apr 12, 2026, 1:30 PM

Sparta Praha

2–2Nov 9, 2025, 2:30 PM

Teplice

Sparta Praha

1–1Nov 23, 2024, 3:00 PM

Teplice

1–4Jul 27, 2024, 3:00 PM

Sparta Praha

2–1Dec 17, 2023, 5:00 PM

Teplice

1–1Aug 19, 2023, 4:00 PM

Sparta Praha

4–1Mar 4, 2023, 5:00 PM

Teplice

2–2Sep 10, 2022, 5:00 PM

Sparta Praha

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sparta Praha1.40▼best 1.44

Draw4.46▲best 4.80

Teplice7.15▲best 8.12

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.58▼best 1.63

Under 2.52.26▲best 2.37

Both teams to score

Yes1.77best 1.83

No1.95best 2.05

Double chance

Sparta Praha/Draw1.08▼best 1.11

Sparta Praha/Teplice1.17best 1.20

Draw/Teplice2.78▲best 3.00

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57best 1.57

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.25

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.10▲best 1.10

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.00▼best 7.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sparta Praha1.40▲ 0.05

Draw4.46▼ 0.19

Teplice7.15▼ 0.66

12 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Sparta Praha win-0.3pp

66%

Market

66.3%

Draw+0.3pp

21%

Market

20.7%

Teplice win+0.1pp

13%

Market

12.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.