Sport Boys vs Cienciano — Primera División

Primera División· Clausura - 6

Sport Boys

5–1Full-time

Cienciano

WWLDDWGoals 13-164th in league

LWWWDLGoals 15-103rd in league

Home2W 1D 0L(8-2)

Away3W 2D 3L(12-13)

Match events

14'C. Garcés
22'P. Erustes (L. Urruti)
23'N. Da Campo
31'P. Erustes (Christian Cueva)
44'M. Martinich
44'M. Martinich
45+1'P. Erustes
46'Freddy Yovera (C. Núñez)
46'Carlos Cabello (Gerson Barreto)
46'S. Cavero (K. Becerra)
56'P. Erustes (M. Llontop)
59'Christian Cueva (Y. Celi)
64'J. Alarcon (M. Trauco)
64'N. Da Campo (E. Gonzales)
65'Y. Celi (M. Trauco)
68'Ray Sandoval (H. Caparo)
68'A. Hohberg (D. La Torre)
72'P. Erustes (R. Diaz)
72'Oslimg Mora (F. Illanes)

Lineups

Sport Boys

Cienciano

4-2-3-14-2-3-1

Carlos DesioCoach

Horacio Melgarejo

Bench (9)

AI match analysis

Sport Boys win

42%

Draw

29%

Cienciano win

29%

53.8%BTTS

50.6%Over 2.5

21.2%Sport Boys clean sheet

31.7%Cienciano clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive match between Sport Boys and Cienciano, with recent forms indicating potential difficulties for the away side. Sport Boys has shown resilience at home, remaining unbeaten so far, while Cienciano struggles on the road, having lost both away fixtures this season. The historical head-to-head record indicates the potential for shared scoring, pointing towards a likely draw.

Sport Boys unbeaten in last 2 home games
Cienciano has lost both away matches this season
Last 5 head-to-head fixtures have all seen multiple goals scored

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

77/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Sport Boys

Higher league positionCienciano
Cienciano sit 1 place above Sport Boys in the table.
#3 vs #4
Strong home recordSport Boys
Sport Boys have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.
2/3 home wins
Weak away recordCienciano
Cienciano have won 3 of their last 8 away matches.
3/8 away wins
Tighter defenseCienciano
Cienciano are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Sport Boys at 42% — final result was Sport Boys win, Sport Boys 5-1 Cienciano.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (77/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Sport Boys ✓2.11market 47.4% · model 42%

Draw3.20market 31.2% · model 29%

Cienciano3.34market 30% · model 29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Sport Boys have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Cienciano have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Sport Boys wins

2Draws

2Cienciano wins

14-13Goals

Cienciano

2–2Sep 18, 2025, 12:30 AM

Sport Boys

2–2Apr 19, 2025, 6:00 PM

Cienciano

Sport Boys

2–0Jul 30, 2024, 8:00 PM

Cienciano

3–2Feb 18, 2024, 10:00 PM

Sport Boys

2–1Oct 28, 2023, 8:15 PM

Cienciano

0–1Jun 10, 2023, 12:00 AM

Sport Boys

2–1Aug 14, 2022, 6:15 PM

Cienciano

4–1Mar 19, 2022, 8:30 PM

Sport Boys

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sport Boys2.11▲best 2.20

Draw3.20▼best 3.40

Cienciano3.34▼best 3.60

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.00▲best 2.08

Under 2.51.75▼best 1.82

Both teams to score

Yes1.79best 1.83

No1.92▼best 1.98

Double chance

Sport Boys/Draw1.28best 1.33

Sport Boys/Cienciano1.30best 1.35

Draw/Cienciano1.68▲best 1.80

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25▲best 1.25

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75▼best 3.75

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44▼best 1.44

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62▲best 2.62

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sport Boys2.11▲ 0.03

Draw3.20▼ 0.03

Cienciano3.34▼ 0.10

20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

Sport Boys win-1.7pp

AI

42%

Market

43.7%

Draw+0.2pp

AI

29%

Market

28.8%

Cienciano win+1.4pp

AI

29%

Market

27.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.