Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua
Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo · Capacity 24,000 · grass · Referee: R. Mendez
Match events
- 7'J. Sanguinetti
- 14'R. Chipao (Y. Zapata)
- 33'J. Lojas
- 46'D. Carabano (F. Caballero)
- 46'E. Lastre (B. Angulo)
- 50'C. Mejía
- 58'D. Ramirez (C. Ramirez)
- 58'N. Lujan (J. J. Gimenez Delgado)
- 59'D. Porozo (R. Huaccha)
- 64'M. Gaona
- 65'A. Perleche (J. Jimenez)
- 65'B. Angulo (J. Granda)
- 66'A. Zamudio
- 73'P. Magallanes (R. Campodónico)
- 78'E. Lastre (Y. Lopez)
- 78'C. Mejía (A. Davila)
- 78'F. Caballero (A. Quiñónez)
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 0.5
- 2.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Sport Huancayo, sitting 3rd in the table and performing well at home, is favored to secure a win against UCV Moquegua, who are struggling at 15th. Historically, UCV's recent form with just 2 draws and 3 losses points towards challenges in both scoring and defense. The goal averages indicate that Sport Huancayo is likely to score, while UCV's low scoring rate undermines their potential to match the home side.
- Sport Huancayo is ranked 3rd in the standings with a positive goal difference
- UCV Moquegua has a poor record, sitting at 15th with a negative goal difference
- Sport Huancayo has scored an average of 1.8 goals and conceded 2 over their last 10 matches
- UCV Moquegua has only averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded in their last 2 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Sport Huancayo
- Higher league positionSport Huancayo
Sport Huancayo sit 9 places above UCV Moquegua in the table.
#3 vs #12 - Sharper attackSport Huancayo
Sport Huancayo are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Tighter defenseUCV Moquegua
UCV Moquegua are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game conceded - Poor recent formSport Huancayo
Sport Huancayo have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Limited recent-match sample
UCV Moquegua has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Sport Huancayo at 69% — final result was UCV Moquegua win, Sport Huancayo 0-2 UCV Moquegua.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (93/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sport Huancayo have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- UCV Moquegua have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Sport Huancayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | WWLL |
| 12 |  UCV Moquegua | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | DLDD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 2 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
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Deportivo GarcilasoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua?+
Our AI model favors Sport Huancayo to win, with a 69% probability (Draw 18%, UCV Moquegua 13%).
Where is Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua played?+
The match is played at Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo (capacity 24,000).
What time does Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).