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Sporting CP vs Vitória SC

Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 2
Sporting CP
3–2Full-time
Vitória SC
LDDWGoals 19-132nd in league
LLLWGoals 12-119th in league
Home2W 0D 0L(6-3)
Away0W 0D 1L(2-3)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 9'F. Goncalves (Fotis Ioannidis)
  2. 22'Fotis Ioannidis (G. Catamo)
  3. 24'Sergi Altimira
  4. 26'Thiago Balieiro
  5. 38'Óscar Rivas
  6. 41'Sergi Altimira (Fotis Ioannidis)
  7. 46'O. Camara (M. Nogueira)
  8. 46'Miguel Maga (T. Strata)
  9. 46'B. Mukendi (L. Doucet)
  10. 55'G. Catamo
  11. 64'M. Nogueira
  12. 66'Samu (M. Nogueira)
  13. 67'F. Goncalves (Luis Javier Suárez)
  14. 67'G. Catamo (Luis Guilherme)
  15. 69'A. Ndoye (T. Strata)
  16. 71'Eduardo Quaresma
  17. 76'Fotis Ioannidis (Jesse Derry)
  18. 77'G. Nogueira (S. Verdi)
  19. 78'Gustavo
  20. 84'Giorgos Vagiannidis (Iván Fresneda)
  21. 88'Samu (P. Ouotro)
  22. 90+1'Gonçalo Inácio

Lineups

Sporting CP
Vitória SC
4-2-3-14-2-3-1
1
1. Rui Silva
20
20. M. Araujo
25
25. Gonçalo Inácio
72. Eduardo Quaresma
← 84'
13. Giorgos Vagiannidis
77
77. Issa Doumbia
5. Sergi Altimira
58
← 67'
58. F. Goncalves
17. Rodrigo Zalazar
10
← 67'
10. G. Catamo
← 76'
7. Fotis Ioannidis
24
24. A. Ndoye
7
← 46'
7. O. Camara
20
← 88'
20. Samu
11
11. Gustavo
← 46'
16. B. Mukendi
8
← 77'
8. G. Nogueira
13. João Mendes
4. Óscar Rivas
28
28. Thiago Balieiro
← 46'
2. Miguel Maga
48. Oliwier Zych
Rui BorgesCoachTiago Margarido
Bench (12)
Bench (11)
Sporting CPVitória SC
1.9
Goals/game
1.2
1.3
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Sporting CP win
73%
Draw
17%
Vitória SC win
10%
55.4%BTTS
51.9%Over 2.5
28.7%Sporting CP clean sheet
22.3%Vitória SC clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

The data suggests that Sporting CP has a strong advantage, having won four of the last five encounters against Vitória SC. Moreover, Vitória SC currently struggles after losing their opening match of the season, while Sporting CP has shown a solid scoring average. Overall, the numbers favor a home victory with a predicted score of 2-0.

  • Sporting CP unbeaten in last 5 meetings against Vitória SC
  • Vitória SC lost first match of the season
  • Sporting CP averages 1.7 goals scored in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Sporting CP

  • Higher league positionSporting CP

    Sporting CP sit 7 places above Vitória SC in the table.

    #2 vs #9
  • Historical edgeSporting CP

    Sporting CP have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    6/8 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formVitória SC

    Vitória SC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Sharper attackSporting CP

    Sporting CP are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Sporting CP at 73% — final result was Sporting CP win, Sporting CP 3-2 Vitória SC.

Predicted score was 2-0.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Sporting CP ✓1.32market 75.6% · model 73%
Draw5.29market 18.9% · model 17%
Vitória SC8.40market 11.9% · model 10%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Sporting CP have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Vitória SC have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6Sporting CP wins
1Draws
1Vitória SC wins
20-8Goals
Sporting CP
2–0May 17, 2025, 5:00 PM
Vitória SC
Vitória SC
4–4Jan 3, 2025, 8:15 PM
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
3–0Apr 21, 2024, 7:30 PM
Vitória SC
Vitória SC
3–2Dec 9, 2023, 6:00 PM
Sporting CP
Vitória SC
0–2Apr 24, 2023, 7:15 PM
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
3–0Nov 5, 2022, 8:30 PM
Vitória SC
Vitória SC
1–3Mar 19, 2022, 8:30 PM
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
1–0Oct 30, 2021, 8:15 PM
Vitória SC

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sporting CP1.32▲best 1.45
Draw5.29▼best 6.30
Vitória SC8.40▼best 9.80

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.55▲best 1.60
Under 2.52.39▼best 2.70

Both teams to score

Yes1.84▼best 1.92
No1.87▲best 1.95

Double chance

Sporting CP/Draw1.07▲best 1.11
Sporting CP/Vitória SC1.14▲best 1.18
Draw/Vitória SC3.28▼best 3.85

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.02▲best 2.05
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.71▼best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes8.50▼best 9.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.06▲best 1.07

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sporting CP1.32▲ 0.12
Draw5.29▼ 0.96
Vitória SC8.40▼ 3.60
11 Aug – 14 Aug

Model vs market

Sporting CP win+2pp
AI
73%
Market
71%
Draw-0.8pp
AI
17%
Market
17.8%
Vitória SC win-1.2pp
AI
10%
Market
11.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Sporting CP
3210+37WWD
9
Vitória SC
3102-13WLL

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game1.2
1.3Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Sporting CP

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
83.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Vitória SC

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?+

Our AI model favors Sporting CP to win, with a 73% probability (Draw 17%, Vitória SC 10%).

What time does Sporting CP vs Vitória SC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 7:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).