Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell

Segunda División· Regular Season - 1
WWLWGoals 18-156th in league
WLWDGoals 11-816th in league
Home1W 1D 0L(1-0)
Away0W 2D 0L(0-0)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 13'Yanis Rahmani (Yanis Rahmani)
  2. 40'O. Sanz
  3. 45'M. Rodriguez
  4. 62'A. Sarco (Konrad de la Fuente)
  5. 62'N. Iosifov (Hugo Guillamón)
  6. 63'J. Priego (Xavi Moreno)
  7. 63'Yanis Rahmani (Nicholas Gioacchini)
  8. 67'Hugo Guillamón (Pablo García)
  9. 74'Pere Pons (E. Aguilar Elizalde)
  10. 78'Q. Liameed
  11. 84'Emanuel Gularte (Aimar Duñabeitia)
  12. 84'M. Rodriguez (Ignacio Martín)
  13. 85'Bonaldo (José Luis Català)
  14. 90+2'Edgar González
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Sporting GijonSabadell
1.8
Goals/game
1.1
1.5
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Sporting Gijon win
53%
Draw
28%
Sabadell win
19%
52.9%BTTS
48.2%Over 2.5
27.3%Sporting Gijon clean sheet
27.3%Sabadell clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Sporting Gijon has a slight upper hand with a better scoring average in recent matches. Historically, they have performed well against Sabadell, including a recent victory. With both teams yet to play in the current season, the prior form could be pivotal in this matchup.

  • Sporting Gijon scored 1.8 goals per game in their last 10 matches
  • Sabadell conceded an average of 1 goal per game in their last 10 matches
  • Head-to-head history shows Sporting Gijon winning 3-1 in their last meeting
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
88/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Sporting Gijon

  • Historical edgeSporting Gijon

    Sporting Gijon have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    1/2 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackSporting Gijon

    Sporting Gijon are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game
  • Tighter defenseSabadell

    Sabadell are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Higher league positionSporting Gijon

    Sporting Gijon sit 10 places above Sabadell in the table.

    #6 vs #16

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Sporting Gijon at 53% — final result was a draw, Sporting Gijon 0-0 Sabadell.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (88/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Sporting Gijon1.87market 53.5% · model 53%
Draw3.25market 30.8% · model 28%
Sabadell4.31market 23.2% · model 19%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Sporting Gijon have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Sabadell have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Sporting Gijon wins
1Draws
0Sabadell wins
4-2Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sporting Gijon1.87best 2.08
Draw3.25best 3.45
Sabadell4.31best 4.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.21best 2.35
Under 2.51.63best 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes1.96best 2.06
No1.75best 1.85

Double chance

Sporting Gijon/Draw1.19best 1.25
Sporting Gijon/Sabadell1.29best 1.34
Draw/Sabadell1.89best 2.07

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.67best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.10best 2.10

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sporting Gijon1.87 0.06
Draw3.25 0.05
Sabadell4.31 0.08
14 Aug17 Aug

Model vs market

Sporting Gijon win+3.2pp
AI
53%
Market
49.8%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
28%
Market
28.6%
Sabadell win-2.6pp
AI
19%
Market
21.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Sporting Gijon
2110+14WD
16
Sabadell
202002DD

Pre-match comparison

1.8Goals scored per game1.1
1.5Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Sporting Gijon

0-15'
100%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Sabadell

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Segunda División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell?+

Our AI model favors Sporting Gijon to win, with a 53% probability (Draw 28%, Sabadell 19%).

What time does Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).