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Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven

USL Championship· Group Stage
Sporting JAX
0–1Full-time
Indy Eleven
WGoals 3-213th in league
WLDWGoals 12-146th in league
Home1W 3D 6L(16-29)
Away1W 2D 6L(6-14)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 23'Danny Wilson
  2. 29'R. Somersall (Harvey Neville)
  3. 60'N. Kibunguchy (M. Rasheed)
  4. 65'Danny Wilson (A. Gomez)
  5. 65'W. Kuzain (Kieran Sadlier)
  6. 72'Jean Mota
  7. 74'P. Craig
  8. 76'Ventura Alvarado
  9. 77'E. Kizza (L. Mesanvi)
  10. 78'A. Mitrano (H. Barry)
  11. 84'Jean Mota (A. Al Qaq)
  12. 88'B. Rendon (M. Omar)
  13. 88'B. Rendon (D. Sing)
  14. 90+2'P. Craig
  15. 90+2'A. Gomez
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Sporting JAXIndy Eleven
3.0
Goals/game
1.2
2.0
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Sporting JAX win
27%
Draw
25%
Indy Eleven win
48%
71%BTTS
73.1%Over 2.5
20.2%Sporting JAX clean sheet
11.1%Indy Eleven clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Indy Eleven's poor recent form, highlighted by five consecutive losses, places them at a disadvantage. Meanwhile, Sporting JAX has only managed one home win this season, indicating challenges in their own right. Given these performances, a close match is expected, likely resulting in a slight advantage for Indy Eleven.

  • Indy Eleven has lost last 5 matches, all competitions
  • Sporting JAX's home record shows only 1 win in 9 games
  • Indy Eleven has struggled away, with 0 wins in 8 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
71/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Indy Eleven

  • Higher league positionIndy Eleven

    Indy Eleven sit 7 places above Sporting JAX in the table.

    #6 vs #13
  • Weak home recordSporting JAX

    Sporting JAX have won 1 of their last 10 home matches.

    1/10 home wins
  • Weak away recordIndy Eleven

    Indy Eleven have won 1 of their last 9 away matches.

    1/9 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited recent-match sample

    Sporting JAX has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Indy Eleven at 48% — final result was Indy Eleven win, Sporting JAX 0-1 Indy Eleven.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Indy Eleven ✓1.87market 53.4% · model 48%
Sporting JAX3.43market 29.2% · model 27%
Draw3.68market 27.2% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Sporting JAX have averaged 3 goals scored per game over their last 1 matches.
  • Indy Eleven have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sporting JAX3.43▼best 3.60
Draw3.68▼best 3.87
Indy Eleven1.87▲best 1.96

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.58▼best 1.62
Under 2.52.26▲best 2.35

Both teams to score

Yes1.54▼best 1.57
No2.30▲best 2.40

Double chance

Sporting JAX/Draw1.81▼best 1.91
Sporting JAX/Indy Eleven1.21best 1.25
Draw/Indy Eleven1.25▲best 1.31

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.33▼best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.25▲best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.14best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.00best 5.00

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sporting JAX3.43▼ 0.07
Draw3.68▲ 0.03
Indy Eleven1.87▲ 0.06
15 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Sporting JAX win+0.4pp
AI
27%
Market
26.6%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
25%
Market
24.8%
Indy Eleven win-0.7pp
AI
48%
Market
48.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
13
Sporting JAX
212514-2811LLLD
6
Indy Eleven
19847+128WDLL

Pre-match comparison

3Goals scored per game1.2
2Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 1 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Surgan

2Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
1Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Sporting JAX

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
66.7%

Indy Eleven

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?+

Our AI model favors Indy Eleven to win, with a 48% probability (Draw 25%, Sporting JAX 27%).

What time does Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).