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Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta

Division Profesional - Clausura· Clausura - 6
Sportivo Ameliano
3–1Full-time
Deportivo Recoleta
DWLLGoals 9-146th in league
LLLWGoals 14-178th in league
Home2W 2D 0L(6-3)
Away1W 0D 2L(5-8)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 31'P. Rios
  2. 41'E. Moreira (L. Ayala)
  3. 46'W. Báez (O. Barreto)
  4. 46'F. A. Echeguren Zarza
  5. 51'E. Moreira
  6. 58'E. Moreira (V. Larralde)
  7. 58'L. Ayala (C. Favero)
  8. 59'A. Franco
  9. 62'A. Franco (J. Espinola)
  10. 62'H. Lopez (E. Barreto)
  11. 69'F. A. Echeguren Zarza
  12. 71'A. Gonzalez (F. Galeano)
  13. 77'R. Peralta (R. Torales)
  14. 77'E. Paez (L. Ortiz)
  15. 84'C. Ocampos (F. Vera)
  16. 86'P. Rios (M. Schupp)
  17. 88'A. Paredes
  18. 90+2'L. Monzon
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Sportivo AmelianoDeportivo Recoleta
0.9
Goals/game
1.4
1.4
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

Sportivo Ameliano win
45%
Draw
26%
Deportivo Recoleta win
29%
54.8%BTTS
50.6%Over 2.5
24.7%Sportivo Ameliano clean sheet
27.3%Deportivo Recoleta clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive matchup, with Sportivo Ameliano yet to lose at home this season and Deportivo Recoleta holding a strong head-to-head record. Recent form indicates low scoring potential for both sides, as their averages hover around 1 goal per game, which may lead to a tightly contested draw.

  • Sportivo Ameliano unbeaten at home this season with 1 win and 2 draws
  • Deportivo Recoleta has a recent head-to-head advantage with 3 wins in the last 4 encounters
  • Both teams have a recent scoring average around 1 goal per game in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
79/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Sportivo Ameliano

  • Historical edgeDeportivo Recoleta

    Deportivo Recoleta have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    3/4 H2H wins
  • Strong home recordSportivo Ameliano

    Sportivo Ameliano have won 2 of their last 4 home matches.

    2/4 home wins
  • Weak away recordDeportivo Recoleta

    Deportivo Recoleta have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.

    1/3 away wins
  • Sharper attackDeportivo Recoleta

    Deportivo Recoleta are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Sportivo Ameliano at 45% — final result was Sportivo Ameliano win, Sportivo Ameliano 3-1 Deportivo Recoleta.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Sportivo Ameliano ✓1.99market 50.2% · model 45%
Draw3.35market 29.8% · model 26%
Deportivo Recoleta3.44market 29.1% · model 29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Sportivo Ameliano have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Deportivo Recoleta have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Sportivo Ameliano wins
1Draws
3Deportivo Recoleta wins
4-10Goals
Sportivo Ameliano
1–4Sep 29, 2025, 8:00 PM
Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta
3–1Jul 21, 2025, 9:30 PM
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Ameliano
1–2May 10, 2025, 10:30 PM
Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta
1–1Feb 28, 2025, 9:15 PM
Sportivo Ameliano

Odds comparison

Match winner

Sportivo Ameliano1.99▼best 2.05
Draw3.35▲best 3.56
Deportivo Recoleta3.44▲best 3.90

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.90▼best 1.98
Under 2.51.83best 1.88

Both teams to score

Yes1.74best 1.82
No1.99▼best 2.10

Double chance

Sportivo Ameliano/Draw1.28▼best 1.32
Sportivo Ameliano/Deportivo Recoleta1.28▼best 1.33
Draw/Deportivo Recoleta1.73▲best 1.80

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.40

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Sportivo Ameliano1.99
Draw3.35▲ 0.04
Deportivo Recoleta3.44
20 Aug – 21 Aug

Model vs market

Sportivo Ameliano win-1pp
AI
45%
Market
46%
Draw-1.3pp
AI
26%
Market
27.3%
Deportivo Recoleta win+2.3pp
AI
29%
Market
26.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Sportivo Ameliano
6231+29LWDD
8
Deportivo Recoleta
6213-37LWWL

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game1.4
1.4Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Benitez

4Yellow cards / game
0.5Red cards / game
1Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Sportivo Ameliano

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

Deportivo Recoleta

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?+

Our AI model favors Sportivo Ameliano to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 26%, Deportivo Recoleta 29%).

What time does Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).