Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion
Match events
- 9'A. Maiz (M. Ojeda)
- 45+2'N. Giménez (A. Campuzano)
- 45+2'A. Campuzano
- 46'Jonathan Ramos (M. Perez)
- 46'M. Ojeda (Kevin Pereira)
- 46'Robert Rojas (A. Fretes)
- 46'I. Ramirez (G. Aguilar)
- 50'Kevin Pereira
- 50'A. Maiz
- 54'M. Fernandez
- 64'R. Villalba (Agustín Manzur)
- 64'Óscar Ruiz (A. Balbuena)
- 72'A. Cantero (T. Muro)
- 72'I. Maggi (Walter González)
- 75'M. Fernandez (J. Bogarin)
- 75'M. Fernandez (Joaquin Bogarin)
- 76'F. Carrizo
- 85'E. Vera (L. Sanabria)
- 90+2'A. Fretes
Lineups
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that Libertad Asuncion holds an advantage, having won four of the last five encounters with Sportivo Luqueno. With Sportivo Luqueno struggling at home and showing a negative goal difference this season, the numbers favor an away victory for Libertad Asuncion.
- Libertad Asuncion has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Sportivo Luqueno
- Sportivo Luqueno has a negative goal difference of -3 this season
- Libertad Asuncion has won 2 of their last 3 away matches
- Sportivo Luqueno has lost their only home match so far this season.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Libertad Asuncion
- Weak home recordSportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Luqueno have won 0 of their last 2 home matches.
0/2 home wins - Strong away recordLibertad Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion have won 2 of their last 3 away matches.
2/3 away wins - Poor recent formSportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Luqueno have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formLibertad Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Libertad Asuncion at 47% — final result was Libertad Asuncion win, Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 Libertad Asuncion.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (83/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sportivo Luqueno have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Libertad Asuncion have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad AsuncionLibertad AsuncionSportivo LuquenoSportivo LuquenoLibertad AsuncionLibertad AsuncionSportivo LuquenoLibertad AsuncionSportivo LuquenoSportivo LuquenoLibertad AsuncionSportivo LuquenoLibertad AsuncionLibertad AsuncionSportivo LuquenoOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sportivo Luqueno | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 | LWLL |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 15 | WWLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
Mario Diaz De Vivar
Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1N. GiménezLibertad Asuncion⚽ 17.7
- 2A. MaizSportivo Luqueno⚽ 1🟨7.3
- 3L. MoralesSportivo Luqueno7.3
- 4A. CampuzanoLibertad Asuncion🅰️ 17.3
- 5G. BogadoSportivo Luqueno7.2
- 6F. CarrizoLibertad Asuncion🟨7.2
Box score
Sportivo Luqueno
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Bench (12)
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Libertad Asuncion
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Bench (11)
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OlimpiaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?+
Our AI model favors Libertad Asuncion to win, with a 47% probability (Draw 28%, Sportivo Luqueno 25%).
What time does Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).