SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth · Capacity 18,000 · grass · Referee: F. Lechner
Match events
- 25'Christian Kjelder Rasmussen
- 36'O. Olsen (J. Mbom)
- 57'K. Keresztes
- 61'J. Mbom
- 61'P. Will
- 63'B. Taz (D. Hanslik)
- 63'Christian Kjelder Rasmussen (A. Crimaldi)
- 64'Philipp Hofmann
- 68'J. Dehm (L. Reich)
- 68'O. Pohlmann (A. Keller)
- 74'Maximilian Wittek (L. Sawas)
- 75'M. Pannewig (T. Meyer)
- 75'K. Keresztes (M. Dal)
- 77'M. Dal (L. Itter)
- 80'E. Çokaj
- 84'S. Banse (O. Balliu)
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests VfL Bochum has a historical advantage over SpVgg Greuther Fürth, winning their last two encounters. SpVgg Greuther Fürth has struggled defensively, allowing an average of 1.6 goals per game recently, while Bochum has displayed resilience, keeping a clean sheet in their last victory. Overall, statistics indicate a competitive match with Bochum likely edging it.
- VfL Bochum undefeated in their last 2 matches against SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth averages 1 goal scored per match in their last 10 games
- VfL Bochum has won 2 of their last 5 matches with 1 goal conceded in each victory
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors VfL Bochum
- Historical edgeVfL Bochum
VfL Bochum have won 2 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.
2/2 H2H wins - Poor recent formSpVgg Greuther Fürth
SpVgg Greuther Fürth have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Sharper attackSpVgg Greuther Fürth
SpVgg Greuther Fürth are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1/game - Tighter defenseSpVgg Greuther Fürth
SpVgg Greuther Fürth are conceding just 1.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked VfL Bochum at 38% — final result was VfL Bochum win, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 VfL Bochum.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (57/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- VfL Bochum have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Bochum
More DFB Pokal predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum?+
Our AI model favors VfL Bochum to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 28%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 34%).
Where is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum played?+
The match is played at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth (capacity 18,000).
What time does SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 11:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).