St Kilda Saints vs Gold Coast Suns
Marvel Stadium
Score
| Team | Goals | Behinds | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 St Kilda Saints | 12 | 8 | 80 |
 Gold Coast Suns | 14 | 19 | 103 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 72-78
Data suggests a competitive matchup, with Gold Coast Suns having a favorable head-to-head record against St Kilda Saints, winning 3 of their last 5 meetings. St Kilda's recent form shows a tendency to concede points, averaging 81.5 per game, while the Suns have been more prolific in scoring. These factors lead to a projection where the Suns may narrowly edge the Saints in a high-scoring affair.
- Gold Coast Suns won 3 of last 5 encounters with St Kilda Saints
- St Kilda Saints conceded an average of 81.5 points per game in last 10 matches
- Gold Coast Suns have a superior average scoring of 85.2 compared to St Kilda's 80.6 in last 10 matches
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Gold Coast Suns
- Tighter defenseGold Coast Suns
Gold Coast Suns are conceding just 97.8 points per game over their recent matches.
97.8/game conceded - Poor recent formSt Kilda Saints
St Kilda Saints have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Poor recent formGold Coast Suns
Gold Coast Suns have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgeGold Coast Suns
Gold Coast Suns have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 49% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Gold Coast Suns at 49% — final result was Gold Coast Suns win, St Kilda Saints 80-103 Gold Coast Suns.
Predicted score was 72-78.
The model itself only flagged this as a low confidence pick (47/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Match trends
- St Kilda Saints have averaged 85.3 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Gold Coast Suns have averaged 77.8 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- St Kilda Saints are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Gold Coast Suns.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Ladder
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fremantle Dockers | 23 | 19 | 0 | 4 | +620 | 76 | WLWW |
| 2 |  Sydney Swans | 23 | 18 | 0 | 5 | +674 | 72 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Brisbane Lions | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | +445 | 64 | WWLW |
| 4 |  Hawthorn Hawks | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | +379 | 64 | DLWW |
| 5 |  Geelong Cats | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +430 | 60 | WWWW |
| 6 |  Adelaide Crows | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +320 | 60 | LWWL |
| 7 |  Melbourne Demons | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +202 | 60 | WWWL |
| 8 |  Western Bulldogs | 23 | 13 | 1 | 9 | -91 | 54 | DLLW |
| 9 |  Collingwood Magpies | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | +47 | 52 | DWLW |
| 10 |  Carlton Blues | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | +29 | 50 | DWWW |
| 11 | St Kilda Saints | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | +56 | 40 | WLLW |
| 12 |  Greater Western Sydney Giants | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | -22 | 40 | WLWL |
| 13 | Gold Coast Suns | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -117 | 36 | LWLL |
| 14 |  North Melbourne Kangaroos | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -243 | 36 | LWLL |
| 15 |  Port Adelaide Power | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | -245 | 28 | LLLL |
| 16 |  West Coast Eagles | 23 | 4 | 0 | 19 | -718 | 16 | LLLL |
| 17 |  Richmond Tigers | 23 | 3 | 0 | 20 | -890 | 12 | LLWL |
| 18 |  Essendon Bombers | 23 | 2 | 0 | 21 | -876 | 8 | LLLL |
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Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win St Kilda Saints vs Gold Coast Suns?+
Our AI model favors Gold Coast Suns to win, with a 49% probability (St Kilda Saints 51%).
What time does St Kilda Saints vs Gold Coast Suns start?+
First bounce is at Aug 20, 2026, 9:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the final score in St Kilda Saints vs Gold Coast Suns?+
St Kilda Saints: 12.8 (80). Gold Coast Suns: 14.19 (103).