St.Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Match events
No events yet.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 St.Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 1 |
 Pittsburgh Pirates | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 4 | 6 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-6
The recent form suggests a competitive matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates. While the Cardinals have a solid home win rate of 55%, the Pirates have had success against them recently, winning 6 of their last 10 encounters. The numbers hint that Pittsburgh's struggles in scoring could play a significant factor, but given past performances, they hold a slight edge. Therefore, the predicted score tilts narrowly in favor of the Pirates.
- St. Louis Cardinals have a 55% home win rate this season.
- Pittsburgh Pirates recently won 6-2 against the Cardinals away.
- Cardinals have allowed an average of 7.2 runs over their last 10 games.
- Pirates average only 2.6 runs scored in their last 10 games, indicating recent offensive struggles.
Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Pittsburgh Pirates
- Sharper attackSt.Louis Cardinals
St.Louis Cardinals are averaging 4.8 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
4.8/game - Tighter defensePittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates are conceding just 2.8 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.8/game conceded - Poor recent formSt.Louis Cardinals
St.Louis Cardinals have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formPittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 52% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
Match trends
- St.Louis Cardinals have averaged 4.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Pittsburgh Pirates have averaged 2.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- St.Louis Cardinals are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Pittsburgh Pirates.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | St.Louis Cardinals | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.30 | 1.28 |
| -1.5 | 2.96▲ | 1.37▼ |
| -1 | 2.54▲ | 1.49▼ |
| +1 | 1.75▲ | 2.07▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.59▲ | 2.38▼ |
| +2 | 1.43▲ | 2.79▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.35▲ | 3.09▼ |
| +3 | 1.26▲ | 3.69▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.49▲ | 2.57▼ |
| 7 | 1.59▲ | 2.30▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.83▲ | 1.99▼ |
| 8 | 1.94▲ | 1.84▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.11▲ | 1.69▼ |
| 9 | 2.45▲ | 1.52▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.67▲ | 1.45▼ |
| 10 | 2.98▲ | 1.35▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
St.Louis CardinalsPittsburgh PiratesSt.Louis CardinalsPittsburgh PiratesSt.Louis CardinalsPittsburgh PiratesSt.Louis CardinalsPittsburgh PiratesSt.Louis CardinalsPittsburgh PiratesLeague standings
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Who is likely to win St.Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates?+
Our AI model favors Pittsburgh Pirates to win, with a 52% probability (St.Louis Cardinals 48%).
What time does St.Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates start?+
First pitch is at Aug 30, 2026, 6:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).