Stoke City vs Hull City
Value found
+0.2% edgeHull City win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 39'R. Bozenik (S. Thomas)
- 45'K. Dowell (L. Millar)
- 46'E. Galbraith (D. Soumare)
- 59'J. Hjerto-Dahl (Hidemasa Morita)
- 63'R. Bozenik (G. Hirst)
- 64'M. Manhoef (S. Gallagher)
- 64'Ben Johnson (B. Lawal)
- 77'M. Targett (E. Stroud)
- 77'A. Omur (M. Belloumi)
- 81'K. Dowell (T. Sellars-Fleming)
- 81'B. Akintola (R. Slater)
- 81'L. Giani (F. Anderson)
- 82'L. Herrington
- 90+5'G. Hirst
- 120+1'S. Thomas
- 120+1'Hidemasa Morita
- 120+2'S. Gallagher
- 120+2'P. McNair
- 120+3'B. Lawal
- 120+3'E. Stroud
- 120+4'G. Hirst
- 120+4'L. Millar
- 120+5'D. Soumare
- 120+5'M. Belloumi
Lineups
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.8
- Conceded/game
- 0.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests that Stoke City is struggling with form, having lost four of their last five matches and averaging only 0.9 goals scored per game. In contrast, Hull City comes into this match with three wins in their last five, displaying a stronger defensive record. The head-to-head history has been relatively balanced, indicating a possibility of a draw given the circumstances.
- Stoke City has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- Hull City has won 3 of their last 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets
- Historically, the teams have split results in their last 5 encounters
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Stoke City
- Poor recent formStoke City
Stoke City have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formHull City
Hull City have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Tighter defenseHull City
Hull City are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded - Historical edgeStoke City
Stoke City have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Stoke City at 36% — final result was a draw, Stoke City 1-1 Hull City.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (55/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Stoke City have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hull City have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Hull City
Stoke CityStoke CityHull CityHull CityStoke CityStoke CityHull CityHull CityStoke CityStoke CityHull CityStoke CityHull CityHull CityStoke CityOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Stoke City
Hull City
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Stoke City vs Hull City?+
Our AI model favors Stoke City to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 30%, Hull City 34%).
What time does Stoke City vs Hull City kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).