Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys
Match events
- 34'J. Januševskij
- 46'V. Paulauskas (K. Asamoah)
- 58'F. Tangiri
- 64'R. Rasimavicius (J. Bopesu)
- 64'M. Bačanin (I. Asante)
- 64'N. Petkevicius (Elivelton)
- 65'I. Seck (Moutir Chajia)
- 65'Faustas Steponavičius (Omran Haydary)
- 75'F. Tangiri (M. Mikulenas)
- 75'S. M. Sanokho (T. Lucky)
- 77'M. Ramanauskas
- 81'Moutir Chajia
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.9
- 0.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Suduva Marijampole is in a strong position, sitting at the top of the league with an unbeaten home record this season. Panevėžys, struggling in 7th place with poor away form, has only recorded 3 wins in 12 away matches, which could hinder their chances. The recent match history indicates competitive encounters, but Suduva's current form and home advantage favor them for a narrow victory.
- Suduva Marijampole ranked 1st in the league, showcasing strong performance.
- Suduva has a perfect home record with 6 wins in 11 matches.
- Panevėžys has struggled away, winning only 3 out of 12 matches.
- Recent head-to-head matches show a competitive history, though Suduva has the edge.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Suduva Marijampole
- Strong home recordSuduva Marijampole
Suduva Marijampole have won 7 of their last 12 home matches.
7/12 home wins - Weak away recordPanevėžys
Panevėžys have won 3 of their last 13 away matches.
3/13 away wins - Sharper attackPanevėžys
Panevėžys are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game - Tighter defenseSuduva Marijampole
Suduva Marijampole are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Suduva Marijampole at 61% — final result was Suduva Marijampole win, Suduva Marijampole 2-0 Panevėžys.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (99/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Suduva Marijampole have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Panevėžys have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Suduva Marijampole
PanevėžysPanevėžysSuduva MarijampoleSuduva MarijampolePanevėžysPanevėžysSuduva MarijampolePanevėžysSuduva MarijampoleSuduva MarijampolePanevėžysPanevėžysSuduva MarijampoleSuduva MarijampolePanevėžysOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | +16 | 42 | WWWD |
| 8 | Panevėžys | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -20 | 23 | LWDL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Suduva Marijampole
Panevėžys
More A Lyga predictions
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Hegelmann LitauenFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys?+
Our AI model favors Suduva Marijampole to win, with a 61% probability (Draw 22%, Panevėžys 17%).
What time does Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 3:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).