Surkhon vs Olmaliq
Match events
- 17'B. Shukurullaev
- 27'Goal Disallowed - offside
- 27'Goal Disallowed - offside — A. Kholmurodov
- 41'M. Kosimov
- 46'F. Kodirov (M. Musaxonov)
- 58'T. Dzebniauri (S. Abdukhamidov)
- 58'B. Uktamov (A. Temirkhanov)
- 66'A. Kholmurodov (A. Abdurakhmonov)
- 66'N. Abdurazzakov (K. Tursunkulov)
- 66'M. Kosimov (U. Koyich)
- 68'A. Sobirzhonov
- 77'A. Sentoku (I. Pešić)
- 78'A. Temirkhanov
- 80'B. Shaydulov (K. Ergashev)
- 86'M. Musaxonov
- 88'A. Mukimzhonov (S. Ahrorov)
- 89'S. Ahrorov
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The statistics suggest that this match may be tightly contested, reflecting the recent 0-0 draw between the two teams. Surkhon's struggles are evident as they sit in the relegation play-off zone, while Olmaliq, though inconsistent, has a more robust away performance this season. The numbers favor Olmaliq slightly, but given the head-to-head history and Surkhon's home advantage, a draw appears plausible.
- Surkhon has the worst current form in the league with only 1 win in the last 5 matches.
- Olmaliq has a stronger away record with 5 wins from 9 games.
- Surkhon and Olmaliq have drawn two of their last five encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Olmaliq
- Higher league positionOlmaliq
Olmaliq sit 7 places above Surkhon in the table.
#6 vs #13 - Weak home recordSurkhon
Surkhon have won 2 of their last 10 home matches.
2/10 home wins - Strong away recordOlmaliq
Olmaliq have won 5 of their last 10 away matches.
5/10 away wins - Historical edgeOlmaliq
Olmaliq have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Olmaliq at 45.21% — final result was a draw, Surkhon 0-0 Olmaliq.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (81/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Surkhon have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Olmaliq have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Surkhon
OlmaliqOlmaliqSurkhonOlmaliqSurkhonSurkhonOlmaliqOlmaliqSurkhonSurkhonOlmaliqOlmaliqSurkhonSurkhonOlmaliqOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Surkhon
Olmaliq
More Super League predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Surkhon vs Olmaliq?+
Our AI model favors Olmaliq to win, with a 45.21% probability (Draw 27.92%, Surkhon 26.87%).
What time does Surkhon vs Olmaliq kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).