SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen

DFB Pokal· Round of 64
LLLLGoals 13-26
LWLWGoals 13-11
BRITA-Arena

BRITA-Arena, Wiesbaden · Capacity 13,144 · grass · Referee: C. Dingert

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 22'F. Greilinger
  2. 43'Patrik Schick
  3. 47'Lucas Vázquez
  4. 64'Gino Fechner
  5. 65'Lucas Vázquez (Jarell Quansah)
  6. 65'E. Fernandez (Nathan Tella)
  7. 66'M. Brandt (S. Karweina)
  8. 66'L. Schleimer (A. Chaikhoun)
  9. 67'Patrik Schick (Christian Kofane)
  10. 69'Nathan Tella (I. Maza)
  11. 74'Loïc Badé (F. Medina)
  12. 75'J. Gillekens (J. Lewald)
  13. 75'B. Nink (S. F. Stehle)
  14. 78'I. Maza (Exequiel Palacios)
  15. 79'Christian Kofane (A. Moreira)
  16. 84'F. Greilinger (I. Allah)

Lineups

SV WehenBayer Leverkusen
1.3
Goals/game
1.3
2.6
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

SV Wehen win
5.37%
Draw
9.47%
Bayer Leverkusen win
85.16%
59.9%BTTS
61%Over 2.5
14.2%SV Wehen clean sheet
30.1%Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-3

Data suggests a significant advantage for Bayer Leverkusen going into this match, as SV Wehen has struggled in their recent performances, losing all of their last five matches with a high average of goals conceded. Meanwhile, Bayer Leverkusen, despite a mixed record, has demonstrated the ability to secure vital wins and maintain a relatively strong defense. The numbers heavily favor Leverkusen for this encounter.

  • SV Wehen lost all last 5 matches, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game
  • Bayer Leverkusen has a solid recent away win against Newcastle
  • Leverkusen has a stronger scoring average of 1.3 goals per game with better defensive stats
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Bayer Leverkusen

  • Poor recent formSV Wehen

    SV Wehen have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 0D 5L
  • Tighter defenseBayer Leverkusen

    Bayer Leverkusen are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Bayer Leverkusen at 85.16% — final result was Bayer Leverkusen win, SV Wehen 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen.

Predicted score was 1-3.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Bayer Leverkusen1.11market 89.8% · model 85.16%
Draw9.00market 11.1% · model 9.47%
SV Wehen17.69market 5.7% · model 5.37%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • SV Wehen have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Bayer Leverkusen have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

SV Wehen17.69best 21.00
Draw9.00best 10.00
Bayer Leverkusen1.11best 1.15

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.22best 1.28
Under 2.53.92best 4.28

Both teams to score

Yes1.83best 1.95
No1.88best 1.95

Double chance

SV Wehen/Draw5.94best 6.60
SV Wehen/Bayer Leverkusen1.06best 1.10
Draw/Bayer Leverkusen1.02best 1.03

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes1.80best 1.80
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.91best 1.91
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.02best 1.02
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes19.00best 19.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

SV Wehen17.69 1.64
Draw9.00 0.82
Bayer Leverkusen1.11 0.01
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

SV Wehen win+0.1pp
AI
5.37%
Market
5.3%
Draw-0.9pp
AI
9.47%
Market
10.4%
Bayer Leverkusen win+0.9pp
AI
85.16%
Market
84.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.3
2.6Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

C. Dingert

5.6Yellow cards / game
0.4Red cards / game
0.2Penalties scored / game

Based on 5 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Bayer Leverkusen

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

More DFB Pokal predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen?+

Our AI model favors Bayer Leverkusen to win, with a 85.16% probability (Draw 9.47%, SV Wehen 5.37%).

Where is SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen played?+

The match is played at BRITA-Arena, Wiesbaden (capacity 13,144).

What time does SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).