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Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC

Liga Pro· Regular Season - 26
Tecnico Universitario
2–3Full-time
Guayaquil City FC
LLLLGoals 8-1614th in league
WLDDGoals 16-810th in league
Home5W 1D 7L(14-17)
Away4W 3D 6L(14-18)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 20'C. Castaño
  2. 40'Diego Armas
  3. 41'Diego Armas (Johan Bocanegra)
  4. 44'L. Estupinan
  5. 50'C. Castaño (Bagner Delgado)
  6. 64'J. Quinonez (E. P. Ladines Calvache)
  7. 64'Y. Rodriguez (Miller Bolaños)
  8. 65'S. Laurino (Pablo Mancilla)
  9. 66'Bagner Delgado
  10. 68'E. E. Mesa Mercado (L. Torres)
  11. 68'Y. Rodriguez
  12. 68'C. Castaño (E. Caicedo)
  13. 69'Miller Bolaños
  14. 79'Bagner Delgado (B. Oña)
  15. 82'Miller Bolaños (E. Mero)
  16. 83'Anderson Naula
  17. 84'P. Gonzalez (Kevin Sambonino)
  18. 84'Johan Bocanegra (C. Arteaga)
  19. 85'L. Estupinan (W. Caicedo)
  20. 90+1'R. Arias (E. Cabezas)
  21. 90'R. Arias
  22. 90'E. Mero (D. Dorregaray)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Tecnico UniversitarioGuayaquil City FC
0.8
Goals/game
1.6
1.6
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Tecnico Universitario win
50%
Draw
30%
Guayaquil City FC win
20%
43.9%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
20.2%Tecnico Universitario clean sheet
44.9%Guayaquil City FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a tightly contested match given the recent forms of both teams. Tecnico Universitario has struggled with 4 losses in their last 5 games, while Guayaquil City FC has managed only draws, indicating both sides may find scoring difficult. Head-to-head history highlights a competitive rivalry, further supporting a drawn result.

  • Tecnico Universitario has lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Guayaquil City FC has drawn 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Historically, the teams are evenly matched with recent head-to-head results alternating.
  • Guayaquil City FC's away record includes only 3 wins out of 12 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
83/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Tecnico Universitario

  • Poor recent formTecnico Universitario

    Tecnico Universitario have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 1D 4L
  • Sharper attackGuayaquil City FC

    Guayaquil City FC are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game
  • Tighter defenseGuayaquil City FC

    Guayaquil City FC are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Historical edgeTecnico Universitario

    Tecnico Universitario have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Tecnico Universitario at 50% — final result was Guayaquil City FC win, Tecnico Universitario 2-3 Guayaquil City FC.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (83/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Tecnico Universitario1.90market 52.7% · model 50%
Draw3.06market 32.7% · model 30%
Guayaquil City FC ✓4.07market 24.6% · model 20%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Tecnico Universitario have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Guayaquil City FC have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Tecnico Universitario wins
1Draws
3Guayaquil City FC wins
10-4Goals
Guayaquil City FC
1–0Nov 11, 2023, 8:30 PM
Tecnico Universitario
Tecnico Universitario
3–0Jun 4, 2023, 8:30 PM
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
3–1Aug 14, 2022, 8:30 PM
Guayaquil City FC
Guayaquil City FC
0–1Apr 3, 2022, 9:30 PM
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
1–0Aug 29, 2021, 7:00 PM
Tecnico Universitario
Tecnico Universitario
3–0Apr 4, 2021, 10:00 PM
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
0–0Dec 17, 2020, 12:00 AM
Guayaquil City FC
Guayaquil City FC
1–0Oct 4, 2020, 8:30 PM
Tecnico Universitario

Odds comparison

Match winner

Tecnico Universitario1.90▼best 2.00
Draw3.06▲best 3.30
Guayaquil City FC4.07▲best 4.86

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.42▲best 2.61
Under 2.51.49▼best 1.55

Both teams to score

Yes2.11▲best 2.20
No1.61▼best 1.68

Double chance

Tecnico Universitario/Draw1.20▼best 1.25
Tecnico Universitario/Guayaquil City FC1.29▼best 1.36
Draw/Guayaquil City FC1.80▲best 1.93

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.28▼best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.50▲best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.10▼best 2.10
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.67▲best 1.67

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Tecnico Universitario1.90▼ 0.17
Draw3.06▲ 0.04
Guayaquil City FC4.07▲ 0.47
19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Tecnico Universitario win+2.1pp
AI
50%
Market
47.9%
Draw+0.3pp
AI
30%
Market
29.7%
Guayaquil City FC win-2.4pp
AI
20%
Market
22.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
14
Tecnico Universitario
268216-1426LLLW
10
Guayaquil City FC
26899-433DDLD

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game1.6
1.6Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. Cajas

2Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Tecnico Universitario

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
33.3%

Guayaquil City FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
33.3%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC?+

Our AI model favors Tecnico Universitario to win, with a 50% probability (Draw 30%, Guayaquil City FC 20%).

What time does Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).