Tenerife vs Almeria
Match events
- 9'Jesús Álvarez
- 32'Enric Gallego (N. Gil)
- 46'Álex Sola (B. Cipenga)
- 53'David Rodríguez Ramos
- 54'Iván Chapela (N. Lopez)
- 66'D. Chirino (Marcos Luna Marcos Ruiz)
- 66'Mikel Vesga (Q. Junyent)
- 72'Enric Gallego (J. de Miguel)
- 72'V. Moreno (M. Pecar)
- 75'Álex Muñoz (Jon Morcillo)
- 81'N. Gil (A. Krdzalic)
- 81'César Álvarez (Jorge Moreno)
- 88'Adrian Embarba (Léo Baptistão)
Lineups
- 0.5
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 0.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 0-1
The historical data suggests that Almeria has a strong advantage over Tenerife, having won 4 out of their last 5 encounters. With Tenerife's recent form showcasing difficulties in scoring, combined with Almeria's higher goal-scoring average, the numbers favor an away win.
- Tenerife has lost 4 of their last 5 matches against Almeria.
- Almeria has averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game in their last 10 matches.
- Tenerife has struggled to score, averaging 0.5 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Almeria
- Historical edgeAlmeria
Almeria have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
7/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formTenerife
Tenerife have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackAlmeria
Almeria are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game - Tighter defenseTenerife
Tenerife are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Almeria at 35.85% — final result was Tenerife win, Tenerife 1-0 Almeria.
Predicted score was 0-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Tenerife have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Almeria have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Almeria
TenerifeTenerifeAlmeriaTenerifeAlmeriaAlmeriaTenerifeTenerifeAlmeriaAlmeriaTenerifeAlmeriaTenerifeTenerifeAlmeriaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Tenerife
Almeria
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Las PalmasFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Tenerife vs Almeria?+
Our AI model favors Almeria to win, with a 35.85% probability (Draw 30.06%, Tenerife 34.09%).
What time does Tenerife vs Almeria kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 7:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).