Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno

Czech Liga· Regular Season - 5
Teplice
02Full-time
Zbrojovka Brno
WDLWGoals 21-189th in league
WWLWGoals 28-97th in league
Home1W 1D 1L(8-8)
Away1W 1D 0L(3-1)
AGC Arena Na Stinadlech

AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice · Capacity 18,221 · grass · Referee: M. Kubecka

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 28'J. Janetzký
  2. 42'A. Vaníček
  3. 46'P. Žitný (S. Langer)
  4. 59'J. Auta (I. Hopi)
  5. 59'M. Pulkrab (T. Zlatohlavek)
  6. 65'A. Vaníček
  7. 66'M. Rymarenko (L. Penxa)
  8. 71'M. Bilek (J. Svanda)
  9. 72'A. Vaníček
  10. 74'M. Bilek (J. Svanda)
  11. 78'J. Fortelny (D. Marecek)
  12. 79'J. Janetzký (L. Saal)
  13. 79'A. Vaníček (B. Kanakimana)
  14. 90+1'P. Cavos (J. Zmrhal)

Lineups

TepliceZbrojovka Brno
2.1
Goals/game
2.8
1.8
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Teplice win
41%
Draw
29%
Zbrojovka Brno win
30%
69.9%BTTS
73.1%Over 2.5
10%Teplice clean sheet
22.3%Zbrojovka Brno clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-2

The data suggests a competitive match between Teplice and Zbrojovka Brno, with both teams showing mixed recent form. Teplice's home advantage and unbeaten record at AGC Arena can play a crucial role, while Brno's struggles away from home add to the uncertainty. Historically, their encounters have been closely contested, with a tendency for draws, leading to a likely prediction of a high-scoring tie.

  • Teplice unbeaten at home with 1 win and 1 draw this season.
  • Zbrojovka Brno has struggled away, with no wins from their single away match this season.
  • Historical matchups show a tendency for high-scoring draws, with recent encounters often ending closely.
  • Teplice's recent form includes a high-scoring draw and a strong win against previous opponents.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
76/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Teplice

  • Weak home recordTeplice

    Teplice have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.

    1/3 home wins
  • Strong away recordZbrojovka Brno

    Zbrojovka Brno have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.

    1/2 away wins
  • Tighter defenseZbrojovka Brno

    Zbrojovka Brno are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded
  • Higher league positionZbrojovka Brno

    Zbrojovka Brno sit 2 places above Teplice in the table.

    #7 vs #9

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Teplice at 41% — final result was Zbrojovka Brno win, Teplice 0-2 Zbrojovka Brno.

Predicted score was 2-2.

This was a high confidence pick (76/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Teplice2.25market 44.4% · model 41%
Zbrojovka Brno3.06market 32.7% · model 30%
Draw3.21market 31.1% · model 29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Teplice have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Zbrojovka Brno have averaged 2.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Teplice wins
4Draws
2Zbrojovka Brno wins
10-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Teplice2.25best 2.33
Draw3.21best 3.35
Zbrojovka Brno3.06best 3.23

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.96best 2.11
Under 2.51.80best 2.00

Both teams to score

Yes1.71best 1.80
No2.01best 2.15

Double chance

Teplice/Draw1.34best 1.38
Teplice/Zbrojovka Brno1.30best 1.36
Draw/Zbrojovka Brno1.59best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.00best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.36best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Teplice2.25 0.03
Draw3.21 0.10
Zbrojovka Brno3.06 0.11
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Teplice win0pp
AI
41%
Market
41%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
29%
Market
28.8%
Zbrojovka Brno win-0.2pp
AI
30%
Market
30.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
9
Teplice
5212-27LDWW
7
Zbrojovka Brno
4211+37WLDW

Pre-match comparison

2.1Goals scored per game2.8
1.8Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Kubecka

2Yellow cards / game
1Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Teplice

0-15'
14.3%
16-30'
42.9%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
28.6%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Zbrojovka Brno

0-15'
40%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
40%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Czech Liga predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno?+

Our AI model favors Teplice to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 29%, Zbrojovka Brno 30%).

Where is Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno played?+

The match is played at AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice (capacity 18,221).

What time does Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).