Toronto Tempo W vs Indiana Fever W
Coca-Cola Coliseum
Value found
+42.8% edgeToronto Tempo W win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Total points edge
AI expects 243 total points vs the market's 193.5 line — leans over by 49.5 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toronto Tempo W | 23 | 26 | 20 | 26 | 95 |
 Indiana Fever W | 33 | 24 | 24 | 20 | 101 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 88-155
Data suggests that the Indiana Fever W has been performing strongly, winning 8 of their last 10 contests, while the Toronto Tempo W has struggled defensively, allowing significant scoring in their recent losses. The Fever's away win rate of 50% indicates their capability to perform well on the road. Overall, the statistical trends favor the Fever in this matchup.
- Indiana Fever W has won 8 of its last 10 games
- Toronto Tempo W has allowed an average of 100.5 points in their last 2 games
- Indiana Fever W has a 50% away win rate this season
Confidence is moderate because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and this game has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Indiana Fever W
- Poor recent formToronto Tempo W
Toronto Tempo W have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formIndiana Fever W
Indiana Fever W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Tighter defenseIndiana Fever W
Indiana Fever W are conceding just 93.6 points per game over their recent matches.
93.6/game conceded - Sharper attackToronto Tempo W
Toronto Tempo W are averaging 82.2 points scored per game over their recent matches.
82.2/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Indiana Fever W at 64% — final result was Indiana Fever W win, Toronto Tempo W 95-101 Indiana Fever W.
Predicted score was 88-155.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (59/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Toronto Tempo W have averaged 82.2 points scored per game over their last 9 matches.
- Indiana Fever W have averaged 99.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Toronto Tempo W | Indiana Fever W |
|---|---|---|
| -11 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| -10.5 | 1.74 | 2.01 |
| -10 | 1.77 | 1.95 |
| -9.5 | 1.86 | 1.91 |
| -9 | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| -8.5 | 1.95 | 1.79 |
| -8 | 2.02 | 1.71 |
| -7.5 | 2.09 | 1.68 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 191.5 | 1.73 | 2.04 |
| 192 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| 192.5 | 1.80 | 1.93 |
| 193 | 1.80 | 1.92 |
| 193.5 | 1.89 | 1.86 |
| 194 | 1.92 | 1.80 |
| 194.5 | 1.98 | 1.77 |
| 195 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
Average price across 9 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Players to watch
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 2 | Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 3 |  New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 6 | Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 7 |  Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 |  Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 5 | Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 6 | New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 7 | Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 8 |  Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 9 |  Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 10 | Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 15 |  Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 5 | Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 8 | Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 9 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Toronto Tempo W vs Indiana Fever W?+
Our AI model favors Indiana Fever W to win, with a 64% probability (Toronto Tempo W 36%).
What time does Toronto Tempo W vs Indiana Fever W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 18, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Toronto Tempo W vs Indiana Fever W?+
Toronto Tempo W: 23-26-20-26. Indiana Fever W: 33-24-24-20. Final: 95-101.