Toronto Tempo W vs Portland Fire W
Coca-Cola Coliseum
Value found
+9.5% edgePortland Fire W win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Total points edge
AI expects 180 total points vs the market's 183 line — leans under by 3 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toronto Tempo W | 16 | 28 | 22 | 16 | 82 |
 Portland Fire W | 24 | 20 | 15 | 20 | 79 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 85-95
The numbers favor the Portland Fire W, who have achieved a 100% win rate on the road this season. Toronto Tempo W has struggled significantly, having lost their last four games while averaging 90 points scored and allowing nearly 99. These factors suggest that Portland is well-positioned to secure another victory.
- Toronto Tempo W has lost all four of their last games without a home win this season.
- Portland Fire W has a perfect away win rate this season.
- Toronto is allowing an average of 98.75 points in their last four games, which suggests defensive struggles.
Confidence is moderate because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this game has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Portland Fire W
- Tighter defensePortland Fire W
Portland Fire W are conceding just 88.3 points per game over their recent matches.
88.3/game conceded - Poor recent formToronto Tempo W
Toronto Tempo W have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Poor recent formPortland Fire W
Portland Fire W have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackToronto Tempo W
Toronto Tempo W are averaging 82.2 points scored per game over their recent matches.
82.2/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Portland Fire W at 65% — final result was Toronto Tempo W win, Toronto Tempo W 82-79 Portland Fire W.
Predicted score was 85-95.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Toronto Tempo W have averaged 82.2 points scored per game over their last 9 matches.
- Portland Fire W have averaged 87.3 points scored per game over their last 7 matches.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Toronto Tempo W | Portland Fire W |
|---|---|---|
| +1 | 2.05▼ | 1.74▲ |
| +1.5 | 2.00▲ | 1.76▼ |
| +2 | 1.95▼ | 1.82▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.88▼ | 1.89▲ |
| +3 | 1.80▼ | 1.98▲ |
| +3.5 | 1.76▼ | 2.00▲ |
| +4 | 1.68▼ | 2.10▲ |
| +4.5 | 1.66 | 2.13▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 181 | 1.73▲ | 1.98▼ |
| 181.5 | 1.77▲ | 1.96▼ |
| 182 | 1.83▲ | 1.92▼ |
| 182.5 | 1.85▲ | 1.92▼ |
| 183 | 1.89▲ | 1.87▼ |
| 183.5 | 1.91▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 184 | 1.95▲ | 1.81▼ |
| 184.5 | 1.98▲ | 1.78▼ |
Double chance
Average price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Players to watch
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 2 |  Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 3 |  New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 6 | Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 7 |  Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 |  Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 5 | Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 6 | New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 7 | Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 8 |  Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 9 | Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 10 | Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 15 |  Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 5 | Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 8 | Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 9 and 7 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Atlanta Dream WMinnesota Lynx WSeattle Storm WLos Angeles Sparks WPortland Fire WGolden State Valkyries WDallas Wings WConnecticut Sun WFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Toronto Tempo W vs Portland Fire W?+
Our AI model favors Portland Fire W to win, with a 65% probability (Toronto Tempo W 35%).
What time does Toronto Tempo W vs Portland Fire W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 22, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Toronto Tempo W vs Portland Fire W?+
Toronto Tempo W: 16-28-22-16. Portland Fire W: 24-20-15-20. Final: 82-79.