Tottenham vs Charlton
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London · Capacity 62,850 · grass · Referee: A. Herczeg
Value found
+42.4% edgeCharlton win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 15'C. Sichenje (D. McNamara)
- 15'B. Koumetio (Lloyd Jones)
- 24'Lucas Bergvall
- 39'Lloyd Jones
- 41'Mikey Moore (R. Bentancur)
- 45+2'Robert Apter
- 45'Dominic Solanke (Mikey Moore)
- 64'Jan Paul van Hecke (Micky van de Ven)
- 65'R. Bentancur (Kevin Danso)
- 65'Destiny Udogie (Pedro Porro)
- 65'T. Ouma (A. Mwamba)
- 66'H. Knibbs (M. Leaburn)
- 66'M. Alli (Joe Rankin-Costello)
- 67'Kevin Danso (Mateus Fernandes)
- 71'Dominic Solanke (Savinho)
- 78'Mathys Tel (L. Williams-Barnett)
- 82'Savinho (Archie Gray)
- 85'Ben Davies (Savinho)
- 87'Lloyd Jones (Joe Rankin-Costello)
Lineups
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests Tottenham has a solid home advantage, remaining unbeaten in their last five at home. Although Charlton has demonstrated strong recent form with four wins in five matches, they have shown vulnerability in defense, conceding five goals across those games. The numbers indicate a likely score of 2-1 in favor of Tottenham.
- Tottenham unbeaten at home in last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws)
- Charlton has won last 4 of 5 matches but conceded 5 goals in those games
- Tottenham averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per game in recent form
- Bookmaker-implied probabilities favor Tottenham strongly, reflecting recent performances.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Tottenham
- Good recent formCharlton
Charlton have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Sharper attackCharlton
Charlton are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game - Tighter defenseTottenham
Tottenham are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Tottenham at 77% — final result was Tottenham win, Tottenham 5-1 Charlton.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Tottenham have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Charlton have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Herczeg
Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Tottenham
Charlton
More League Cup predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Tottenham vs Charlton?+
Our AI model favors Tottenham to win, with a 77% probability (Draw 15%, Charlton 8%).
Where is Tottenham vs Charlton played?+
The match is played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London (capacity 62,850).
What time does Tottenham vs Charlton kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).