Tottenham vs Newcastle
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London · Capacity 62,850 · grass · Referee: P. Bankes
Match events
- 3'Micky van de Ven
- 13'Nico González
- 62'Anthony Elanga (Amar Dedić)
- 68'Archie Gray (Mikey Moore)
- 68'Andrew Robertson (Destiny Udogie)
- 68'Mathys Tel (Mohammed Kudus)
- 71'Joe Willock (Nick Woltemade)
- 71'Nico González (Sean Steur)
- 72'Yoane Wissa (Nick Woltemade)
- 75'Sandro Tonali (Dominic Solanke)
- 79'Sven Botman
- 82'Yoane Wissa (Jacob Ramsey)
- 82'Anthony Elanga (J. Murphy)
- 90+3'Harvey Barnes (Bazoumana Touré)
- 1.7
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a competitive matchup between Tottenham and Newcastle. Tottenham is struggling with their recent form, having lost their last match, while Newcastle has shown resilience with a recent draw despite mixed results. Historically, Newcastle has performed well against Tottenham, which may give them an edge in this encounter.
- Tottenham has lost their last match and is currently at the bottom of the league standings.
- Newcastle has drawn their last match and sits mid-table, indicating slightly better form.
- Historically, Newcastle has dominated recent meetings, winning 3 out of the last 5 encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Tottenham
- Historical edgeNewcastle
Newcastle have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formNewcastle
Newcastle have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Tighter defenseTottenham
Tottenham are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded - Higher league positionNewcastle
Newcastle sit 17 places above Tottenham in the table.
#3 vs #20
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Tottenham at 43.84% — final result was Newcastle win, Tottenham 0-2 Newcastle.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Tottenham have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Newcastle have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Tottenham
NewcastleNewcastleTottenhamNewcastleTottenhamTottenhamNewcastleNewcastleTottenhamNewcastleTottenhamTottenhamNewcastleNewcastleTottenhamOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
P. Bankes
Based on 21 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Tottenham
Newcastle
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IpswichFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Tottenham vs Newcastle?+
Our AI model favors Tottenham to win, with a 43.84% probability (Draw 26.02%, Newcastle 30.13%).
Where is Tottenham vs Newcastle played?+
The match is played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London (capacity 62,850).
What time does Tottenham vs Newcastle kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).