Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir

Süper Lig· Regular Season - 2
LLDLGoals 10-144th in league
LWWWGoals 16-810th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(2-1)
Away0W 0D 1L(1-2)
Papara Park

Papara Park, Trabzon · Capacity 41,513 · grass · Referee: A. Karaoglan

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 10'Mohamed Salah
  2. 19'E. Shomurodov
  3. 22'Olivier Kemen
  4. 39'Bertuğ Yıldırım
  5. 46'Bertuğ Yıldırım (Onur Ergün)
  6. 48'Mohamed Salah (E. Muci)
  7. 58'Jakub Kałuziński (I. Brnić)
  8. 58'Abbosbek Fayzullaev (D. Selke)
  9. 61'D. Selke
  10. 70'A. Simsir (N. Saviolo)
  11. 70'E. Muci (Cenk Özkaçar)
  12. 70'Ömer Ali Şahiner (M. Karbownik)
  13. 79'Mohamed Salah
  14. 79'A. Olsen (Umut Bozok)
  15. 81'R. Malinovskyi (B. Bouchouari)
  16. 83'Chibuike Nwaiwu
  17. 87'P. Onuachu (O. Tufan)
  18. 88'Onur Ergün
  19. 89'Stefan Savić
  20. 90+4'Mohamed Salah

Lineups

TrabzonsporBaşakşehir
1.0
Goals/game
1.6
1.4
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Trabzonspor win
48.8%
Draw
25.9%
Başakşehir win
25.29%
46.1%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
22.3%Trabzonspor clean sheet
40.7%Başakşehir clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Statistical analysis indicates that the match is likely to be competitive, with Trabzonspor showing a slight edge as the home team, despite their recent struggles. Başakşehir's strong recent form, including multiple wins, suggests they could challenge effectively. The history between these teams also suggests a tendency for closely matched encounters, potentially leading to a draw.

  • Trabzonspor's recent form shows 1 draw in the last 5 matches.
  • Başakşehir has won 4 of their last 5 matches indicating strong current form.
  • Historically, matches between these teams have been closely contested with recent games ending in draws or narrow margins.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
86/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Trabzonspor

  • Historical edgeTrabzonspor

    Trabzonspor have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formTrabzonspor

    Trabzonspor have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Good recent formBaşakşehir

    Başakşehir have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Higher league positionTrabzonspor

    Trabzonspor sit 6 places above Başakşehir in the table.

    #4 vs #10

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Trabzonspor at 48.8% — final result was Trabzonspor win, Trabzonspor 2-1 Başakşehir.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Trabzonspor1.98market 50.6% · model 48.8%
Başakşehir3.51market 28.5% · model 25.29%
Draw3.59market 27.8% · model 25.9%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Trabzonspor have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Başakşehir have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Trabzonspor wins
2Draws
1Başakşehir wins
13-8Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Trabzonspor1.98best 2.12
Draw3.59best 3.76
Başakşehir3.51best 3.77

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.63best 1.72
Under 2.52.24best 2.36

Both teams to score

Yes1.53best 1.57
No2.34best 2.40

Double chance

Trabzonspor/Draw1.28best 1.35
Trabzonspor/Başakşehir1.26best 1.30
Draw/Başakşehir1.79best 1.91

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.15best 1.17
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.30best 3.35
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.31best 1.33

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Trabzonspor1.98 0.11
Draw3.59 0.07
Başakşehir3.51 0.33
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Trabzonspor win+1.5pp
AI
48.8%
Market
47.3%
Draw-0.1pp
AI
25.9%
Market
26%
Başakşehir win-1.4pp
AI
25.29%
Market
26.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
Trabzonspor
2110+14WD
10
Başakşehir
2101+13LW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.6
1.4Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. Karaoglan

5.5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.75Penalties scored / game

Based on 4 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Trabzonspor

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

Başakşehir

0-15'
22.2%
16-30'
22.2%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
22.2%
76-90+'
33.3%

More Süper Lig predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir?+

Our AI model favors Trabzonspor to win, with a 48.8% probability (Draw 25.9%, Başakşehir 25.29%).

Where is Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir played?+

The match is played at Papara Park, Trabzon (capacity 41,513).

What time does Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).