Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir

Papara Park, Trabzon · Capacity 41,513 · grass · Referee: A. Karaoglan
Match events
- 10'Mohamed Salah
- 19'E. Shomurodov
- 22'Olivier Kemen
- 39'Bertuğ Yıldırım
- 46'Bertuğ Yıldırım (Onur Ergün)
- 48'Mohamed Salah (E. Muci)
- 58'Jakub Kałuziński (I. Brnić)
- 58'Abbosbek Fayzullaev (D. Selke)
- 61'D. Selke
- 70'A. Simsir (N. Saviolo)
- 70'E. Muci (Cenk Özkaçar)
- 70'Ömer Ali Şahiner (M. Karbownik)
- 79'Mohamed Salah
- 79'A. Olsen (Umut Bozok)
- 81'R. Malinovskyi (B. Bouchouari)
- 83'Chibuike Nwaiwu
- 87'P. Onuachu (O. Tufan)
- 88'Onur Ergün
- 89'Stefan Savić
- 90+4'Mohamed Salah
Lineups
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 0.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Statistical analysis indicates that the match is likely to be competitive, with Trabzonspor showing a slight edge as the home team, despite their recent struggles. Başakşehir's strong recent form, including multiple wins, suggests they could challenge effectively. The history between these teams also suggests a tendency for closely matched encounters, potentially leading to a draw.
- Trabzonspor's recent form shows 1 draw in the last 5 matches.
- Başakşehir has won 4 of their last 5 matches indicating strong current form.
- Historically, matches between these teams have been closely contested with recent games ending in draws or narrow margins.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Trabzonspor
- Historical edgeTrabzonspor
Trabzonspor have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Poor recent formTrabzonspor
Trabzonspor have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Good recent formBaşakşehir
Başakşehir have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Higher league positionTrabzonspor
Trabzonspor sit 6 places above Başakşehir in the table.
#4 vs #10
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Trabzonspor at 48.8% — final result was Trabzonspor win, Trabzonspor 2-1 Başakşehir.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Trabzonspor have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Başakşehir have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | WD | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | LW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Karaoglan
Based on 4 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
More Süper Lig predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir?+
Our AI model favors Trabzonspor to win, with a 48.8% probability (Draw 25.9%, Başakşehir 25.29%).
Where is Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir played?+
The match is played at Papara Park, Trabzon (capacity 41,513).
What time does Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

















