U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club Queretaro — Liga MX

Liga MX· Apertura - 4

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

0–0Full-time

Club Queretaro

LWLLLDGoals 12-184th in league

DLLLLLGoals 5-157th in league

Home0W 0D 1L(0-3)

Away1W 0D 0L(2-1)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

2'Paulo Victor
58'Alejandro Alcala (E. Dueñas)
59'Paulo Victor (Waldo Madrid)
67'Carlo Adriano García
70'Juninho (Alan Medina)
70'P. Vite (L. Herrera)
70'Juninho (L. Herrera)
70'P. Vite (Alan Medina)
81'Nathan
82'Bayron Duarte (Jean Unjanque)
82'Carlo Adriano García (B. Parra)
83'Jean Unjanque
83'C. Antuna (Cristian Calderon)
83'A. Leone (G. Martínez)
90+1'Adalberto Carrasquilla (Santiago Trigos)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

U.N.A.M. - PumasClub Queretaro

1.2
Goals/game: 0.5; 1.8
Conceded/game: 1.5

AI match analysis

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win

51.67%

Draw

26.62%

Club Queretaro win

21.71%

50.6%BTTS

45.6%Over 2.5

31.7%U.N.A.M. - Pumas clean sheet

25.9%Club Queretaro clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that U.N.A.M. - Pumas holds a slight edge due to a stronger head-to-head record against Club Queretaro, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters. Moreover, Queretaro's offensive struggles, averaging only 0.4 goals in their last 10 matches, could hinder their performance. The home team's position in the standings and their recent form provide additional support for a predicted narrow victory.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas has won 3 of the last 5 matchups against Club Queretaro
Club Queretaro has an average of 0.4 goals scored per game over the last 10 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas is currently ranked 4th in the league standings

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

88/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Weak home recordU.N.A.M. - Pumas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 0 of their last 1 home matches.
0/1 home wins
Strong away recordClub Queretaro
Club Queretaro have won 1 of their last 1 away matches.
1/1 away wins
Poor recent formU.N.A.M. - Pumas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L
Poor recent formClub Queretaro
Club Queretaro have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 51.67% — final result was a draw, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-0 Club Queretaro.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (88/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.85market 53.9% · model 51.67%

Draw ✓3.58market 27.9% · model 26.62%

Club Queretaro3.94market 25.4% · model 21.71%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

U.N.A.M. - Pumas have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Club Queretaro have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins

2Draws

3Club Queretaro wins

12-7Goals

Club Queretaro

1–1Apr 27, 2024, 3:10 AM

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

4–0Oct 5, 2023, 1:00 AM

Club Queretaro

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

0–1Aug 4, 2023, 12:00 AM

Club Queretaro

1–0Apr 3, 2023, 1:05 AM

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

4–1Sep 8, 2022, 2:05 AM

Club Queretaro

1–3Jan 15, 2022, 1:00 AM

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

0–0Aug 14, 2021, 10:00 PM

Club Queretaro

2–0Jan 25, 2021, 1:00 AM

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Odds comparison

Match winner

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.85▲best 1.90

Draw3.58▼best 3.80

Club Queretaro3.94▼best 4.37

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.72best 1.79

Under 2.52.08best 2.14

Both teams to score

Yes1.63best 1.67

No2.13▼best 2.20

Double chance

U.N.A.M. - Pumas/Draw1.22▲best 1.25

U.N.A.M. - Pumas/Club Queretaro1.25▲best 1.29

Draw/Club Queretaro1.90▼best 2.00

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14▼best 1.14

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.25▲best 5.50

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.75

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.40

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.85▲ 0.06

Draw3.58

Club Queretaro3.94▲ 0.04

13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win+1.4pp

51.67%

Market

50.3%

Draw+0.6pp

26.62%

Market

26%

Club Queretaro win-2pp

21.71%

Market

23.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.