Udinese vs Padova
Match events
- 32'Jesper Karlström
- 35'Keinan Davis (Oumar Solet)
- 46'Kevin Lasagna (Mattia Bortolussi)
- 53'Nicolò Zaniolo
- 62'Keinan Davis (Adam Buksa)
- 63'Christian Pastina (Matteo Lovato)
- 63'Nicolò Zaniolo (Idrissa Gueye)
- 63'Marco Pompetti (Francesco Di Mariano)
- 70'Gianluca Caprari (Kevin Varas)
- 73'Jesper Karlström (L. Miller)
- 73'Adam Buksa
- 79'Filippo Sgarbi (Matteo Cocchi)
- 83'Hassane Kamara (Juan Arizala)
- 83'J. Ekkelenkamp (Unai Gómez)
Lineups
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 0.7
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-0
Data suggests Udinese enters this match in solid form, especially at home, having won their last three home games and maintaining a strong defensive record. Conversely, Padova's recent performances indicate a struggle in scoring, averaging just 0.9 goals over their last 10 matches, which could hinder their chances against Udinese's stable defense. The current statistics favor Udinese to secure a win in this Coppa Italia clash.
- Udinese unbeaten in last 3 home matches
- Udinese averaging 1.2 goals scored per game in last 10 matches
- Padova averaging only 0.9 goals scored in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Udinese
- Good recent formPadova
Padova have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Tighter defenseUdinese
Udinese are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded - Sharper attackUdinese
Udinese are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Udinese at 69.73% — final result was Udinese win, Udinese 1-0 Padova.
Predicted score was 2-0.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Udinese have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Padova have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Rapuano
Based on 17 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Udinese
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1Mërgim VojvodaUdinese8.2
- 2Oumar SoletUdinese🅰️ 18.2
- 3Matteo PalmaUdinese7.6
- 4Keinan DavisUdinese⚽ 17.3
- 5Emanuele ZuelliPadova7.3
- 6Jesper KarlströmUdinese🟨7.2
Box score
Udinese
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Bench (15)
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Padova
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Bench (13)
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More Coppa Italia predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Udinese vs Padova?+
Our AI model favors Udinese to win, with a 69.73% probability (Draw 18.88%, Padova 11.39%).
What time does Udinese vs Padova kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).