Ujpest vs MTK Budapest
Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest · Capacity 13,501 · grass
Match events
- 12'Gábor Jurek (Zalán Kerezsi)
- 31'Etienne Amenyido
- 40'Matija Ljujic
- 45+4'Patrik Kovács
- 46'G. Bodnar (Kristóf Sarkadi)
- 56'K. Hinora (G. Komaromi)
- 56'A. G. Zubor (I. Bognar)
- 60'Arne Maier (Noah Fenyő)
- 60'G. Vlijter (A. Krajcsovics)
- 60'A. Fiola (João Nunes)
- 61'M. Kata (M. Kata)
- 66'A. Matko
- 70'Ferenc Ujváry (Tizian-Valentino Scharmer)
- 74'Gábor Jurek (M. Klausz)
- 79'Zalán Kerezsi (D. Zsori)
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests that Ujpest holds a slight advantage, given their recent winning streak and home performance. MTK Budapest, on the other hand, has not won their only away match this season and generally shows a higher rate of conceding goals. Historically, their recent head-to-head results also lean in favor of Ujpest, making them the likely candidates to win.
- Ujpest has won their last 4 matches against various opponents.
- MTK Budapest has lost 3 of their last 5 matches, struggling for form.
- Ujpest's recent home record shows a win in their only match this season.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Ujpest
- Strong home recordUjpest
Ujpest have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.
1/2 home wins - Weak away recordMTK Budapest
MTK Budapest have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.
0/2 away wins - Historical edgeMTK Budapest
MTK Budapest have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionMTK Budapest
MTK Budapest sit 1 place above Ujpest in the table.
#4 vs #5
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Ujpest at 49% — final result was a draw, Ujpest 1-1 MTK Budapest.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (84/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Ujpest have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- MTK Budapest have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
MTK Budapest
UjpestUjpestMTK BudapestMTK BudapestUjpestUjpestMTK BudapestMTK BudapestUjpestUjpestMTK BudapestUjpestMTK BudapestMTK BudapestUjpestOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ujpest | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | DWWL |
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 8 | DLDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Ujpest
MTK Budapest
More NB I predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?+
Our AI model favors Ujpest to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 23%, MTK Budapest 28%).
Where is Ujpest vs MTK Budapest played?+
The match is played at Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest (capacity 13,501).
What time does Ujpest vs MTK Budapest kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).