UMECIT vs Sporting San Miguelito
Match events
- 24'S. Ramírez
- 33'J. Fuentes
- 39'M. Casazola
- 39'J. Caicedo
- 53'R. Tello Valor
- 54'M. Casazola (E. Rodriguez)
- 54'J. Livingston (J. Murillo)
- 61'V. Baron (Campani)
- 61'J. Caicedo (E. Zorrilla)
- 67'R. Tello Valor (R. Benitez)
- 67'Luis Zuniga (J. Betancourt)
- 70'O. Almanza (D. Oliveira)
- 70'A. Saldana (R. Ford)
- 73'J. Cedeno (O. Castillo)
- 73'E. Zorrilla (O. Castillo)
- 73'J. Cedeno (Campani)
- 84'J. Hall
- 87'J. Delgado
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.8
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The match analysis reveals that both teams are struggling to find consistent form, with UMECIT managing just draws recently and Sporting San Miguelito only achieving one goal in their past three games. Head-to-head encounters have also been closely contested, resulting in several draws, which suggests a tight match. The numbers indicate a likely draw, with both defenses appearing relatively strong against recent scoring efforts.
- UMECIT has drawn their last 3 matches
- Sporting San Miguelito has only 1 goal in their last 3 matches
- Recent head-to-head history shows balanced outcomes with 3 draws
- Sporting San Miguelito has a lower goal average compared to UMECIT.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors UMECIT
- Historical edgeUMECIT
UMECIT have won 2 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
2/7 H2H wins - Higher league positionUMECIT
UMECIT sit 6 places above Sporting San Miguelito in the table.
#3 vs #9 - Poor recent formUMECIT
UMECIT have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L - Sharper attackSporting San Miguelito
Sporting San Miguelito are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked UMECIT at 38% — final result was Sporting San Miguelito win, UMECIT 0-1 Sporting San Miguelito.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- UMECIT have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sporting San Miguelito have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
UMECIT
Sporting San MiguelitoSporting San MiguelitoUMECITUMECITSporting San MiguelitoSporting San MiguelitoUMECITUMECITSporting San MiguelitoUMECITSporting San MiguelitoSporting San MiguelitoUMECITOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | UMECIT | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | +8 | 25 | DDDD |
| 9 | Sporting San Miguelito | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 | WDLD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
UMECIT
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Alianza FCFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win UMECIT vs Sporting San Miguelito?+
Our AI model favors UMECIT to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 33%, Sporting San Miguelito 29%).
What time does UMECIT vs Sporting San Miguelito kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 1:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).