United Nordic vs Varbergs BoIS FC — Superettan

Superettan· Regular Season - 19

United Nordic

0–0Full-time

Varbergs BoIS FC

LDWWGoals 5-45th in league

DDLLWLGoals 13-153rd in league

Home5W 4D 1L(19-14)

Away4W 3D 3L(18-15)

Södertälje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje · Capacity 6,710 · artificial turf · Referee: N. Karlsson

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

62'I. Vidjeskog (L. Kahed)
62'A. Bitiqi (S. Borgelin)
72'S. Shhab (A. Eminovic)
72'T. Johansson (N. Söderberg)
75'L. Sibelius (J. Nilsson)
80'T. Gronborg (G. Aphrem)
80'E. Durmaz (C. Aphrem)
84'W. Arlig (O. Werner)
84'A. Winbo (N. Johansson)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

United NordicVarbergs BoIS FC

1.0
Goals/game: 1.3; 0.8
Conceded/game: 1.5

AI match analysis

United Nordic win

40%

Draw

27%

Varbergs BoIS FC win

33%

46.4%BTTS

40.4%Over 2.5

35%United Nordic clean sheet

28.7%Varbergs BoIS FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests United Nordic's home form remains solid, having gone unbeaten in their last five home matches, though they are struggling offensively with only 0.33 goals scored per game in their recent outings. Varbergs BoIS, while ranked higher, has shown inconsistency, particularly in conceding goals, averaging 1.6 per game in their last ten matches. The numbers favor a closely contested encounter, potentially leading to a draw or a low-scoring result.

United Nordic unbeaten in last 5 home games
Varbergs BoIS averaging 1.3 goals per away match
United Nordic has not won in their last 3 matches

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

66/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors United Nordic

Sharper attackVarbergs BoIS FC
Varbergs BoIS FC are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game
Tighter defenseUnited Nordic
United Nordic are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded
Higher league positionVarbergs BoIS FC
Varbergs BoIS FC sit 2 places above United Nordic in the table.
#3 vs #5
Poor recent formVarbergs BoIS FC
Varbergs BoIS FC have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked United Nordic at 40% — final result was a draw, United Nordic 0-0 Varbergs BoIS FC.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

United Nordic2.28market 43.9% · model 40%

Varbergs BoIS FC2.85market 35.1% · model 33%

Draw ✓3.42market 29.3% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

United Nordic have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 5 matches.
Varbergs BoIS FC have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

United Nordic2.28▼best 2.38

Draw3.42▲best 3.63

Varbergs BoIS FC2.85▲best 2.98

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.71▼best 1.75

Under 2.52.08▲best 2.14

Both teams to score

Yes1.57▼best 1.62

No2.24best 2.33

Double chance

United Nordic/Draw1.38▼best 1.44

United Nordic/Varbergs BoIS FC1.27▼best 1.30

Draw/Varbergs BoIS FC1.56▲best 1.60

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.50best 3.50

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.28best 1.28

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

United Nordic2.28▲ 0.03

Draw3.42▲ 0.08

Varbergs BoIS FC2.85▲ 0.04

15 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

United Nordic win-0.6pp

40%

Market

40.6%

Draw0pp

27%

Market

27%

Varbergs BoIS FC win+0.6pp

33%

Market

32.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.