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Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC

Liga Pro· Regular Season - 26
Universidad Catolica
5–1Full-time
Manta FC
WLLDGoals 11-113rd in league
WWWLGoals 16-1616th in league
Home9W 2D 2L(34-12)
Away2W 2D 9L(7-23)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 20'M. Alonso (E. Clavijo)
  2. 24'Glendys Mina
  3. 29'C. Medina
  4. 30'Jostin Alman (J. Troya)
  5. 44'J. Fajardo
  6. 45+2'D. Nazareno
  7. 51'Juan Jimenez
  8. 54'M. Alonso (J. Fajardo)
  9. 59'M. Díaz (M. Alonso)
  10. 60'J. Vergés (Maikel Valencia)
  11. 61'Glendys Mina (Josué Chalá)
  12. 61'Juan Jimenez (W. Chalá)
  13. 63'F. Martínez (J. Cacciabue)
  14. 63'M. Alonso (J. Mina)
  15. 63'M. Díaz (A. Rodriguez)
  16. 72'Jostin Alman (Jean Carlos Blanco)
  17. 72'J. Angulo (Jeremy Mina)
  18. 77'J. Fajardo (B. Palacios)
  19. 77'A. Londono (Jimmy Evans)

Lineups

Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
4-2-3-14-4-2
12
12. Johan Lara
9
← 77'
9. A. Londono
37
37. C. Medina
33
33. L. Cangá
24
24. Darwin Nazareno
8
8. E. Clavijo
10
← 63'
10. F. Martínez
32
← 63'
32. M. Alonso
28
← 63'
28. M. Díaz
30
30. Eddy Mejía
7
← 77'
7. J. Fajardo
← 72'
19. Jostin Alman
17
← 72'
17. J. Angulo
27. Jefferson Troya
← 61'
6. Juan Jimenez
70. Juan Nazareno
55
← 60'
55. J. Vergés
← 61'
31. Glendys Mina
24. Octavio Moscarelli
21. Mateo Ortíz
23. Edison Alexander Medina Caicedo
1. Walter Chávez
Diego MartinezCoachRicardo Duarte Barrios Raul
Bench (12)
Bench (9)
Universidad CatolicaManta FC
1.1
Goals/game
1.6
1.1
Conceded/game
1.6

AI match analysis

Universidad Catolica win
73.5%
Draw
17.08%
Manta FC win
9.42%
54.9%BTTS
50.6%Over 2.5
25.9%Universidad Catolica clean sheet
25.9%Manta FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Universidad Catolica has a strong advantage heading into this matchup, given their 4th place standing and commendable home record of 8 wins this season. Conversely, Manta FC is struggling at 16th in the table and has only secured 2 victories on the road, which diminishes their prospects. The historical head-to-head also favors Universidad Catolica, further indicating a likely victory in this match.

  • Universidad Catolica is ranked 4th in the league, vying for playoff positions.
  • Manta FC sits 16th, in relegation playoffs, indicating poor form.
  • Universidad Catolica has a solid home record of 8 wins this season.
  • Historically, Universidad Catolica has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Manta FC.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Universidad Catolica

  • Higher league positionUniversidad Catolica

    Universidad Catolica sit 13 places above Manta FC in the table.

    #3 vs #16
  • Poor recent formUniversidad Catolica

    Universidad Catolica have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Good recent formManta FC

    Manta FC have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Strong home recordUniversidad Catolica

    Universidad Catolica have won 9 of their last 13 home matches.

    9/13 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Universidad Catolica at 73.5% — final result was Universidad Catolica win, Universidad Catolica 5-1 Manta FC.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Universidad Catolica ✓1.27market 79% · model 73.5%
Draw5.06market 19.8% · model 17.08%
Manta FC9.39market 10.6% · model 9.42%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Universidad Catolica have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Manta FC have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Universidad Catolica wins
2Draws
1Manta FC wins
17-11Goals
Manta FC
4–2Jul 12, 2025, 7:00 PM
Universidad Catolica
Universidad Catolica
3–0Mar 15, 2025, 9:30 PM
Manta FC
Manta FC
0–1Jul 31, 2021, 12:00 AM
Universidad Catolica
Universidad Catolica
3–3Feb 27, 2021, 7:00 PM
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
2–1May 4, 2014, 4:30 PM
Manta FC
Manta FC
0–1Mar 1, 2014, 9:00 PM
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
2–2Jun 15, 2013, 7:00 PM
Universidad Catolica
Universidad Catolica
3–1Feb 16, 2013, 5:00 PM
Manta FC

Odds comparison

Match winner

Universidad Catolica1.27▼best 1.30
Draw5.06▲best 5.90
Manta FC9.39▲best 11.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.67▼best 1.80
Under 2.52.09▲best 2.27

Both teams to score

Yes2.07▲best 2.15
No1.64▼best 1.73

Double chance

Universidad Catolica/Draw1.04▼best 1.07
Universidad Catolica/Manta FC1.13▼best 1.17
Draw/Manta FC3.36▲best 3.80

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.83▼best 1.83
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.07▼best 1.07
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes9.00▲best 9.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.83▲best 1.83

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Universidad Catolica1.27▼ 0.01
Draw5.06▲ 0.22
Manta FC9.39▼ 0.61
19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Universidad Catolica win+1.3pp
AI
73.5%
Market
72.2%
Draw-1pp
AI
17.08%
Market
18.1%
Manta FC win-0.3pp
AI
9.42%
Market
9.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
Universidad Catolica
261277+2243DLWD
16
Manta FC
264517-2517LWLL

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Universidad Catolica

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Manta FC

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
40%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
20%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC?+

Our AI model favors Universidad Catolica to win, with a 73.5% probability (Draw 17.08%, Manta FC 9.42%).

What time does Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).